TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13099776
Played Sep 9Finished
Hryhoriy Oliynyk
Home
4.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711811––––
Denys Kozoriz
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:14 and never touched — 81.8% is still 81.8%
Graded at full timeDenys Kozoriz to win
81.8%
81.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHryhoriy Oliynyk above · Denys Kozoriz below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Denys Kozoriz at 81.8%
54 points played in total.
H2H Hryhoriy Oliynyk 0–18 Denys Kozoriz Hryhoriy Oliynyk has won 0 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:14What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Kozoriz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-18 in 18
Kozoriz
Correct
gap of 18 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oliynyk 1276 vs Kozoriz 1382
Kozoriz
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oliynyk 60% vs Kozoriz 80%
Kozoriz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oliynyk 60% vs Kozoriz 80%
Kozoriz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oliynyk -1 · Kozoriz +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Kozoriz) · live re-read · sealed at 82% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oliynyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOliynyk 4.33 / Kozoriz 1.20
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Kozoriz)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13099776
Oliynyk4.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 25 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Kozoriz1.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 57 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it91% 38 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it81% 46 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOliynyk0wins
AwayKozoriz10wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKozoriz leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOliynykn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKozoriz100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oliynyk1Kozoriz9n = 10Kozoriz took 9 of 10
S2Oliynyk2Kozoriz8n = 10Kozoriz took 8 of 10
S3Oliynyk2Kozoriz8n = 10Kozoriz took 8 of 10
S4Oliynyk0Kozoriz4n = 4Kozoriz took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricOliynykKozorizO − KBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match28.038.6−10.6per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOliynykKozorizBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 220 vs 275 / 51950.9%53%112 / 220 vs 275 / 519Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.234.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozorizOliynyk 4.33/Kozoriz 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.6%
Kozoriz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kozoriz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 14 · 09:25H. Oliynyk—51160D. Kozoriz—1113113
LFeb 6 · 15:55H. Oliynyk—111512462D. Kozoriz—8131411103
LJan 30 · 18:55H. Oliynyk—811971D. Kozoriz—11911113
LDec 3 · 12:55H. Oliynyk—9690D. Kozoriz—1111113
LOct 29 · 12:55H. Oliynyk—8450D. Kozoriz—1111113
LOct 23 · 18:55H. Oliynyk—81170D. Kozoriz—1113113
LOct 15 · 13:55H. Oliynyk—791161D. Kozoriz—11118113
LOct 1 · 17:25H. Oliynyk—6111181D. Kozoriz—11139113
LSep 16 · 15:25H. Oliynyk—6260D. Kozoriz—1111113
LSep 11 · 16:55H. Oliynyk—78100D. Kozoriz—1111123
H. Oliynyk10
LSep 9 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.678112101A. Didyk2.1011911123WSep 7 · 10:25H. Oliynyk1.201111113M. Treschetka4.337780LSep 7 · 08:55H. Oliynyk1.289880O. Maksymkiv3.501111113WSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772LSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113LAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113WAug 27 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi3.001129101H. Oliynyk1.3671111123WAug 27 · 15:25H. Oliynyk1.221111113M. Treschetka4.006460WAug 27 · 14:25M. Dunas2.384111091H. Oliynyk1.5311912113
D. Kozoriz10
WSep 9 · 04:55D. Belanchik3.253540D. Kozoriz1.331111113WSep 8 · 17:55D. Belanchik3.008270D. Kozoriz1.361111113LSep 8 · 16:55D. Kozoriz1.679490K. Tkachenko2.101111113WSep 8 · 15:55D. Kozoriz1.611112113S. Kryvoshyi2.2061030WSep 8 · 14:25D. Kozoriz3.751311113V. Dobrovolskyi1.2511570WSep 8 · 12:25D. Kozoriz1.301114113V. Kheresko3.4061280WSep 2 · 10:55O. Maksymkiv3.75113611D. Kozoriz1.2581111113WSep 2 · 09:55V. Kheresko3.001091351D. Kozoriz1.36121111113LSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 06:25O. Melnik1.8011113792D. Kozoriz1.91001111113
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