TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13099768
Played Sep 9Finished
Hryhoriy Oliynyk
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119511113811911
Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:13 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Dobrovolskyi to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHryhoriy Oliynyk above · Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 89 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi at 57.7%
89 points played in total.
H2H Hryhoriy Oliynyk 2–1 Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Dobrovolskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oliynyk 1256 vs Dobrovolskyi 1321
Dobrovolskyi
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oliynyk 20% vs Dobrovolskyi 40%
Dobrovolskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oliynyk 40% vs Dobrovolskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oliynyk -3 · Dobrovolskyi -1
Oliynyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Dobrovolskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dobrovolskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOliynyk 2.38 / Dobrovolskyi 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Dobrovolskyi)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13099768
Oliynyk2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 25 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Dobrovolskyi1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 60 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it88% 45 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeOliynyk2wins
AwayDobrovolskyi1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderOliynyk leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oliynyk1Dobrovolskyi2n = 3Dobrovolskyi took 2 of 3
S2Oliynyk0Dobrovolskyi3n = 3Dobrovolskyi took 3 of 3
S3Oliynyk2Dobrovolskyi1n = 3Oliynyk took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricOliynykDobrovolskyiO − DBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match38.737.7+1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOliynykDobrovolskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 222 vs 205 / 43250.5%47.5%112 / 222 vs 205 / 432Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.135.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DobrovolskyiOliynyk 2.38/Dobrovolskyi 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Dobrovolskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dobrovolskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJun 10 · 04:55H. Oliynyk—11811113V. Dobrovolskyi—911841
LApr 16 · 08:25H. Oliynyk—81140V. Dobrovolskyi—1113113
WOct 31 · 17:25H. Oliynyk—1181111113V. Dobrovolskyi—13119492
H. Oliynyk10
LSep 9 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.4411115492O. Maksymkiv2.63741111113LSep 9 · 05:55H. Oliynyk4.336780D. Kozoriz1.201111113LSep 9 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.678112101A. Didyk2.1011911123WSep 7 · 10:25H. Oliynyk1.201111113M. Treschetka4.337780LSep 7 · 08:55H. Oliynyk1.289880O. Maksymkiv3.501111113WSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772LSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113LAug 27 · 18:25H. Oliynyk1.224860D. Belanchik4.001111113WAug 27 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi3.001129101H. Oliynyk1.3671111123
V. Dobrovolskyi10
LSep 9 · 07:55V. Dobrovolskyi1.36411851D. Kozoriz3.0011611113WSep 9 · 06:55D. Belanchik2.5045100V. Dobrovolskyi1.501111123LSep 9 · 05:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.67149811102O. Maksymkiv2.101211119123WSep 8 · 18:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.3611119113S. Kryvoshyi3.00831191LSep 8 · 16:25D. Belanchik2.63115189113V. Dobrovolskyi1.44911161192WSep 8 · 15:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.5311114113V. Kheresko2.38941171LSep 8 · 14:25D. Kozoriz3.751311113V. Dobrovolskyi1.2511570WSep 8 · 12:55V. Dobrovolskyi1.4021111113K. Tkachenko2.75117781LSep 1 · 19:05M. Slozka1.30121011113V. Dobrovolskyi3.401012381LSep 1 · 17:35V. Dobrovolskyi3.2511156732D. Maltsev1.335131111113
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