TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13099923
Played Sep 9Finished
Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411116811511––
Denys Kozoriz
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:48 and never touched — 66.0% is still 66.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Dobrovolskyi to win
66.0%
66.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Dobrovolskyi above · Denys Kozoriz below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 67 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi at 66.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi 27–11 Denys Kozoriz Denys Kozoriz has won 11 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:48What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Dobrovolskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-11 in 38
Dobrovolskyi
Wrong
gap of 16 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dobrovolskyi 1339 vs Kozoriz 1392
Kozoriz
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dobrovolskyi 60% vs Kozoriz 80%
Kozoriz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dobrovolskyi 40% vs Kozoriz 80%
Kozoriz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dobrovolskyi +1 · Kozoriz +3
Kozoriz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Dobrovolskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kozoriz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDobrovolskyi 1.36 / Kozoriz 3.00
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Dobrovolskyi)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13099923
Dobrovolskyi1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 60 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it88% 45 of 51
Kozoriz3.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 36 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back15% 9 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDobrovolskyi8wins
AwayKozoriz2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDobrovolskyi leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDobrovolskyi100%7 of 7
AwayKozoriz66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dobrovolskyi7Kozoriz3n = 10Dobrovolskyi took 7 of 10
S2Dobrovolskyi6Kozoriz4n = 10Dobrovolskyi took 6 of 10
S3Dobrovolskyi7Kozoriz3n = 10Dobrovolskyi took 7 of 10
S4Dobrovolskyi3Kozoriz0n = 3Dobrovolskyi took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDobrovolskyiKozorizD − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.023.5+11.5per matchSweeps52+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDobrovolskyiKozorizBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 431 vs 276 / 52047.6%53.1%205 / 431 vs 276 / 520Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.034.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DobrovolskyiDobrovolskyi 1.36/Kozoriz 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66%
Dobrovolskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kozoriz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 14:25V. Dobrovolskyi—11570D. Kozoriz—1311113
WJul 26 · 05:55V. Dobrovolskyi—1111113D. Kozoriz—1720
WJul 25 · 18:55V. Dobrovolskyi—1111113D. Kozoriz—3140
WJul 24 · 21:15V. Dobrovolskyi—111211113D. Kozoriz—814981
LJul 19 · 10:25V. Dobrovolskyi—7860D. Kozoriz—1111113
WJul 18 · 12:25V. Dobrovolskyi—81111113D. Kozoriz—115631
WJul 5 · 09:54V. Dobrovolskyi—1171211143D. Kozoriz—111149122
WJul 5 · 07:55V. Dobrovolskyi—1111113D. Kozoriz—6510
WJul 4 · 18:55V. Dobrovolskyi—1111113D. Kozoriz—4430
WJul 4 · 01:43V. Dobrovolskyi—1111113D. Kozoriz—8430
V. Dobrovolskyi10
WSep 9 · 06:55D. Belanchik2.5045100V. Dobrovolskyi1.501111123LSep 9 · 05:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.67149811102O. Maksymkiv2.101211119123WSep 8 · 18:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.3611119113S. Kryvoshyi3.00831191LSep 8 · 16:25D. Belanchik2.63115189113V. Dobrovolskyi1.44911161192WSep 8 · 15:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.5311114113V. Kheresko2.38941171LSep 8 · 14:25D. Kozoriz3.751311113V. Dobrovolskyi1.2511570WSep 8 · 12:55V. Dobrovolskyi1.4021111113K. Tkachenko2.75117781LSep 1 · 19:05M. Slozka1.30121011113V. Dobrovolskyi3.401012381LSep 1 · 17:35V. Dobrovolskyi3.2511156732D. Maltsev1.335131111113LSep 1 · 15:35I. Pytsko1.2211119113V. Dobrovolskyi4.00771171
D. Kozoriz10
WSep 9 · 05:55H. Oliynyk4.336780D. Kozoriz1.201111113WSep 9 · 04:55D. Belanchik3.253540D. Kozoriz1.331111113WSep 8 · 17:55D. Belanchik3.008270D. Kozoriz1.361111113LSep 8 · 16:55D. Kozoriz1.679490K. Tkachenko2.101111113WSep 8 · 15:55D. Kozoriz1.611112113S. Kryvoshyi2.2061030WSep 8 · 14:25D. Kozoriz3.751311113V. Dobrovolskyi1.2511570WSep 8 · 12:25D. Kozoriz1.301114113V. Kheresko3.4061280WSep 2 · 10:55O. Maksymkiv3.75113611D. Kozoriz1.2581111113WSep 2 · 09:55V. Kheresko3.001091351D. Kozoriz1.36121111113LSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882
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