TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122271
Played Sep 13Finished
Dmitriy Belanchik
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171141012811114
Mykolay Treschetka
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Belanchik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmitriy Belanchik above · Mykolay Treschetka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 89 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Dmitriy Belanchik at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Dmitriy Belanchik 6–4 Mykolay Treschetka Mykolay Treschetka has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:22What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Treschetka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Belanchik
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Belanchik 1178 vs Treschetka 1145
Belanchik
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Belanchik 20% vs Treschetka 0%
Belanchik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Belanchik 30% vs Treschetka 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Belanchik -1 · Treschetka -5
Treschetka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Belanchik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Treschetka form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBelanchik 1.83 / Treschetka 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Belanchik)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13122271
Belanchik1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Treschetka1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBelanchik6wins
AwayTreschetka4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBelanchik leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBelanchik50%3 of 6
AwayTreschetka25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Belanchik6Treschetka4n = 10Belanchik took 6 of 10
S2Belanchik5Treschetka5n = 10split evenly
S3Belanchik5Treschetka5n = 10split evenly
S4Belanchik5Treschetka4n = 9Belanchik took 5 of 9
S5Belanchik2Treschetka2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBelanchikTreschetkaB − TBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.841.5−0.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBelanchikTreschetkaBasisWin rate · lifetime107 / 244 vs 479 / 95443.9%50.2%107 / 244 vs 479 / 954Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BelanchikBelanchik 1.83/Treschetka 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Belanchik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Belanchik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 17:25D. Belanchik541191310112M. Treschetka569111112133
WAug 24 · 10:25D. Belanchik43111011113M. Treschetka31312881
WAug 23 · 16:55D. Belanchik4011611123M. Treschetka359115101
LAug 20 · 10:25D. Belanchik2465130M. Treschetka371111153
WJul 30 · 10:25D. Belanchik47811134113M. Treschetka48117111182
WJul 29 · 13:25D. Belanchik3711114113M. Treschetka32481191
WJul 27 · 08:25D. Belanchik3951111123M. Treschetka331157101
LJul 26 · 18:55D. Belanchik31113891M. Treschetka4291111113
LJul 3 · 08:25D. Belanchik49111310872M. Treschetka538111211113
WJul 2 · 16:25D. Belanchik44611511113M. Treschetka4811811992
D. Belanchik10
LSep 9 · 10:25H. Oliynyk1.2811117113D. Belanchik3.50541131WSep 9 · 09:25D. Belanchik2.10121111123O. Maksymkiv1.671437101LSep 9 · 08:25D. Belanchik1.80761191A. Didyk1.9111111113LSep 9 · 06:55D. Belanchik2.5045100V. Dobrovolskyi1.501111123LSep 9 · 04:55D. Belanchik3.253540D. Kozoriz1.331111113LSep 8 · 17:55D. Belanchik3.008270D. Kozoriz1.361111113WSep 8 · 16:25D. Belanchik2.63115189113V. Dobrovolskyi1.44911161192LSep 8 · 14:55D. Belanchik2.00841111K. Tkachenko1.7311117113LSep 8 · 13:25D. Belanchik2.50107111162V. Kheresko1.50121157113WSep 8 · 11:55D. Belanchik2.101111113S. Kryvoshyi1.679990
M. Treschetka10
LSep 7 · 10:25H. Oliynyk1.201111113M. Treschetka4.337780LSep 7 · 09:25M. Treschetka2.2091111582V. Kheresko1.61113411113LSep 7 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.101110731V. Salivonchyk1.6761211113LSep 7 · 06:55M. Treschetka1.404911111O. Maksymkiv2.7511116133LSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Treschetka2.10861241V. Kheresko1.67111110113WSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103WSep 6 · 14:55O. Sapuzhak2.38116841M. Treschetka1.5381111113WSep 6 · 13:55M. Treschetka1.3611911113O. Maksymkiv3.00611861LSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520
Upcoming Matches
D. Belanchik
M. Treschetka
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