Illia Fokin vs Vasil Salivonchyk 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13121974

Played Sep 13Finished

Illia Fokin

Home

2.38

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 3

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

119117108––––

Vasil Salivonchyk

Away

1.53

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:19 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%

Graded at full time

Illia Fokin to win

56.1%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingIllia Fokin above · Vasil Salivonchyk below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 10-8

Point 56 set 3, 10-8 — our read held Illia Fokin at 56.1%

56 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 21:19

What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.53 (61%)

Salivonchyk

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Fokin 1115 vs Salivonchyk 1263

Salivonchyk

Wrong

both rated, 147 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Fokin 80% vs Salivonchyk 60%

Fokin

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Fokin 80% vs Salivonchyk 50%

Fokin

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Fokin +3 · Salivonchyk +1

Fokin

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Salivonchyk) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Fokin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsFokin 2.38 / Salivonchyk 1.53

Signal prob.36% / 64%

Edge (Salivonchyk)+2.8pp

Setka Cup · #13121974

Fokin2.38

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog49% won 33 of 67

Down 0–1, comes back30% 11 of 37

Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15

Salivonchyk1.53

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite60% won 77 of 129

Up 2–0, closes it85% 35 of 41

Up 1–0, closes it72% 58 of 81

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricFokinSalivonchykBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 253 vs 336 / 62454.2%53.9%137 / 253 vs 336 / 624Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Salivonchyk

Fokin 2.38/Salivonchyk 1.53

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

63.6%

Salivonchyk · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Fokin won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

I. Fokin10