TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105625
Played Sep 10Finished
Viktor Ivanytskyi
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611119611611––
Illia Fokin
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIllia Fokin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Ivanytskyi above · Illia Fokin below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 71 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Illia Fokin at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Ivanytskyi 9–10 Illia Fokin Viktor Ivanytskyi has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:00What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Fokin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-10 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivanytskyi 1099 vs Fokin 1103
Fokin
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivanytskyi 80% vs Fokin 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivanytskyi 60% vs Fokin 80%
Fokin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivanytskyi +3 · Fokin +2
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Fokin) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fokin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvanytskyi 2.00 / Fokin 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Fokin)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #13105625
Ivanytskyi2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 27 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back33% 14 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back21% 5 of 24
Fokin1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 59 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it85% 33 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it70% 47 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvanytskyi4wins
AwayFokin6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFokin leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvanytskyi80%4 of 5
AwayFokin100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivanytskyi5Fokin5n = 10split evenly
S2Ivanytskyi4Fokin6n = 10Fokin took 6 of 10
S3Ivanytskyi5Fokin5n = 10split evenly
S4Ivanytskyi4Fokin4n = 8split evenly
S5Ivanytskyi2Fokin3n = 5Fokin took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvanytskyiFokinI − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.041.5−1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvanytskyiFokinBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 178 vs 136 / 25260.7%54%108 / 178 vs 136 / 252Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FokinIvanytskyi 2.00/Fokin 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Fokin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fokin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 15:25V. Ivanytskyi—491171I. Fokin—11119113
LAug 21 · 13:55V. Ivanytskyi—111071152I. Fokin—912114113
WAug 14 · 17:25V. Ivanytskyi—119511113I. Fokin—71111692
LAug 11 · 05:55V. Ivanytskyi—681161I. Fokin—11117113
WAug 10 · 18:55V. Ivanytskyi—111369123I. Fokin—7111111102
WJul 23 · 04:55V. Ivanytskyi—13911143I. Fokin—11115121
WJul 22 · 18:25V. Ivanytskyi—1112123I. Fokin—410100
LJul 16 · 10:25V. Ivanytskyi—5690I. Fokin—1111113
LJul 7 · 10:05V. Ivanytskyi—711101192I. Fokin—113129113
LJun 11 · 17:25V. Ivanytskyi—511111092I. Fokin—117912113
V. Ivanytskyi10
WSep 10 · 09:25A. Nikolenko2.63115791V. Ivanytskyi1.4491111113WSep 10 · 07:25M. Dunas1.7341190V. Ivanytskyi2.001113113WSep 10 · 06:25V. Ivanytskyi1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.008840WSep 10 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.917690V. Ivanytskyi1.801111113LSep 9 · 18:55M. Dunas1.8011811133V. Ivanytskyi1.918118111WSep 9 · 17:25V. Ivanytskyi1.1411811133O. Bolnyh5.005118111LSep 9 · 15:25I. Fokin1.9111119113V. Ivanytskyi1.80491171WSep 9 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi1.678930V. Ivanytskyi2.101111113LSep 9 · 12:25A. Nikolenko3.0091111123V. Ivanytskyi1.361189101LSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132
I. Fokin10
WSep 10 · 09:55I. Fokin1.17611117113O. Bolnyh4.5011971192WSep 10 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi2.258115101I. Fokin1.5711811123LSep 10 · 05:55M. Dunas2.6311129113I. Fokin1.442101141WSep 10 · 04:55A. Nikolenko1.80111061192I. Fokin1.91812113113WSep 9 · 18:25I. Fokin1.5012119113O. Bolnyh2.501091191WSep 9 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi2.00871181I. Fokin1.7311115113WSep 9 · 15:25I. Fokin1.9111119113V. Ivanytskyi1.80491171LSep 9 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.8371311113I. Fokin1.831111751WSep 9 · 12:55I. Fokin1.6711811113M. Dunas2.10311981WAug 21 · 18:25O. Martynenko2.109640I. Fokin1.67111153
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