TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105749
Played Sep 10Finished
Anatolii Nikolenko
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119511711911––
Viktor Ivanytskyi
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:03 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeViktor Ivanytskyi to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Nikolenko above · Viktor Ivanytskyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Viktor Ivanytskyi at 66.1%
74 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Nikolenko 8–19 Viktor Ivanytskyi Anatolii Nikolenko has won 8 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:03What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Ivanytskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-19 in 27
Ivanytskyi
Correct
gap of 11 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nikolenko 1063 vs Ivanytskyi 1088
Ivanytskyi
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nikolenko 60% vs Ivanytskyi 80%
Ivanytskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nikolenko 60% vs Ivanytskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nikolenko -2 · Ivanytskyi +3
Ivanytskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Ivanytskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivanytskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNikolenko 2.63 / Ivanytskyi 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Ivanytskyi)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13105749
Nikolenko2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 41 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back23% 18 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 46
Ivanytskyi1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite72% won 71 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it100% 38 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it88% 56 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNikolenko3wins
AwayIvanytskyi7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderIvanytskyi leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNikolenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayIvanytskyi75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nikolenko2Ivanytskyi8n = 10Ivanytskyi took 8 of 10
S2Nikolenko6Ivanytskyi4n = 10Nikolenko took 6 of 10
S3Nikolenko4Ivanytskyi6n = 10Ivanytskyi took 6 of 10
S4Nikolenko2Ivanytskyi5n = 7Ivanytskyi took 5 of 7
S5Nikolenko2Ivanytskyi3n = 5Ivanytskyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricNikolenkoIvanytskyiN − IBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.641.5−3.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNikolenkoIvanytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime328 / 691 vs 107 / 17747.5%60.5%328 / 691 vs 107 / 177Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanytskyiNikolenko 2.63/Ivanytskyi 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Ivanytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ivanytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 12:25A. Nikolenko—91111123V. Ivanytskyi—1189101
LSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko—7370V. Ivanytskyi—1111113
LSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko—71111862V. Ivanytskyi—117811113
LAug 27 · 06:25A. Nikolenko—111165102V. Ivanytskyi—581111123
LAug 26 · 12:25A. Nikolenko—61111882V. Ivanytskyi—115811113
LAug 22 · 10:55A. Nikolenko—89100V. Ivanytskyi—1111123
WAug 21 · 16:55A. Nikolenko—13111011113V. Ivanytskyi—15612982
LAug 14 · 12:25A. Nikolenko—10850V. Ivanytskyi—1211113
WAug 11 · 07:55A. Nikolenko—119113123V. Ivanytskyi—811511102
LAug 10 · 16:55A. Nikolenko—5118101V. Ivanytskyi—11611123
A. Nikolenko10
LSep 10 · 10:25M. Dunas1.801111113A. Nikolenko1.917350WSep 10 · 08:25A. Nikolenko1.131113113O. Bolnyh5.5081170LSep 10 · 06:55A. Nikolenko2.7511115512O. Maslovskyi1.40591111113LSep 10 · 04:55A. Nikolenko1.80111061192I. Fokin1.91812113113WSep 9 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi1.366116101A. Nikolenko3.0011411123WSep 9 · 16:55A. Nikolenko2.0071112113M. Dunas1.731121091WSep 9 · 15:55A. Nikolenko1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.006570WSep 9 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.8371311113I. Fokin1.831111751WSep 9 · 12:25A. Nikolenko3.0091111123V. Ivanytskyi1.361189101WSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141
V. Ivanytskyi10
LSep 10 · 11:25V. Ivanytskyi2.00611661I. Fokin1.7311911113WSep 10 · 07:25M. Dunas1.7341190V. Ivanytskyi2.001113113WSep 10 · 06:25V. Ivanytskyi1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.008840WSep 10 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.917690V. Ivanytskyi1.801111113LSep 9 · 18:55M. Dunas1.8011811133V. Ivanytskyi1.918118111WSep 9 · 17:25V. Ivanytskyi1.1411811133O. Bolnyh5.005118111LSep 9 · 15:25I. Fokin1.9111119113V. Ivanytskyi1.80491171WSep 9 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi1.678930V. Ivanytskyi2.101111113LSep 9 · 12:25A. Nikolenko3.0091111123V. Ivanytskyi1.361189101LSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132
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