TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100449
Played Sep 9Finished
Anatolii Nikolenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111121210119––
Mykhailo Dunas
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:06 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Dunas to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnatolii Nikolenko above · Mykhailo Dunas below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 73 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Mykhailo Dunas at 55.8%
73 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Nikolenko 1–2 Mykhailo Dunas Anatolii Nikolenko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:06What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dunas
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nikolenko 1050 vs Dunas 1062
Dunas
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nikolenko 80% vs Dunas 20%
Nikolenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nikolenko 40% vs Dunas 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nikolenko +4 · Dunas -1
Nikolenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dunas) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dunas form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNikolenko 2.00 / Dunas 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dunas)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13100449
Nikolenko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 38 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back21% 16 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 46
Dunas1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite44% won 8 of 18
Up 2–0, closes it80% 4 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it58% 7 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeNikolenko1wins
AwayDunas2wins
3 of 3 to a deciderDunas leads 2–1, and 3 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNikolenkon = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayDunas66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nikolenko0Dunas3n = 3Dunas took 3 of 3
S2Nikolenko2Dunas1n = 3Nikolenko took 2 of 3
S3Nikolenko1Dunas2n = 3Dunas took 2 of 3
S4Nikolenko3Dunas0n = 3Nikolenko took 3 of 3
S5Nikolenko1Dunas2n = 3Dunas took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricNikolenkoDunasN − DBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match48.049.0−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNikolenkoDunasBasisWin rate · lifetime330 / 694 vs 20 / 5647.6%35.7%330 / 694 vs 20 / 56Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.035.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DunasNikolenko 2.00/Dunas 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dunas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Nikolenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 3 · 07:25A. Nikolenko—711141122M. Dunas—1113125113
LSep 2 · 12:25A. Nikolenko—171191142M. Dunas—198118113
WAug 19 · 17:25A. Nikolenko—711711113M. Dunas—11511652
A. Nikolenko10
WSep 9 · 15:55A. Nikolenko1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.006570WSep 9 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.8371311113I. Fokin1.831111751WSep 9 · 12:25A. Nikolenko3.0091111123V. Ivanytskyi1.361189101WSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141LSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142LSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113LSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 17:55M. Treschetka1.731112123A. Nikolenko2.00910100LSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113
M. Dunas10
LSep 9 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi1.8312613113M. Dunas1.8310111131WSep 9 · 13:55M. Dunas1.441111113O. Bolnyh2.636630LSep 9 · 12:55I. Fokin1.6711811113M. Dunas2.10311981LSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113LSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113WSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 05:55M. Dunas3.40971541O. Maksymkiv1.30111113113LSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113WSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070
Upcoming Matches
A. Nikolenko
Nothing scheduled
M. Dunas
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.