TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100690
Played Sep 9Finished
Anatolii Nikolenko
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111181191210––
Viktor Ivanytskyi
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:20 and never touched — 71.2% is still 71.2%
Graded at full timeViktor Ivanytskyi to win
71.2%
71.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnatolii Nikolenko above · Viktor Ivanytskyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 81 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Viktor Ivanytskyi at 71.2%
81 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Nikolenko 8–19 Viktor Ivanytskyi Anatolii Nikolenko has won 8 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:20What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-19 in 27
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
gap of 11 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nikolenko 998 vs Ivanytskyi 1073
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nikolenko 20% vs Ivanytskyi 80%
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nikolenko 10% vs Ivanytskyi 60%
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nikolenko +1 · Ivanytskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Ivanytskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nikolenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNikolenko 3.00 / Ivanytskyi 1.36
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Ivanytskyi)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13100690
Nikolenko3.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog31% won 38 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back21% 16 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 46
Ivanytskyi1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite74% won 70 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it100% 38 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it89% 55 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNikolenko3wins
AwayIvanytskyi7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderIvanytskyi leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNikolenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayIvanytskyi75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nikolenko2Ivanytskyi8n = 10Ivanytskyi took 8 of 10
S2Nikolenko6Ivanytskyi4n = 10Nikolenko took 6 of 10
S3Nikolenko4Ivanytskyi6n = 10Ivanytskyi took 6 of 10
S4Nikolenko2Ivanytskyi5n = 7Ivanytskyi took 5 of 7
S5Nikolenko2Ivanytskyi3n = 5Ivanytskyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricNikolenkoIvanytskyiN − IBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.641.5−3.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNikolenkoIvanytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime328 / 694 vs 102 / 17047.3%60%328 / 694 vs 102 / 170Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanytskyiNikolenko 3.00/Ivanytskyi 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.2%
Ivanytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Nikolenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 12:25A. Nikolenko—91111123V. Ivanytskyi—1189101
LSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko—7370V. Ivanytskyi—1111113
LSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko—71111862V. Ivanytskyi—117811113
LAug 27 · 06:25A. Nikolenko—111165102V. Ivanytskyi—581111123
LAug 26 · 12:25A. Nikolenko—61111882V. Ivanytskyi—115811113
LAug 22 · 10:55A. Nikolenko—89100V. Ivanytskyi—1111123
WAug 21 · 16:55A. Nikolenko—13111011113V. Ivanytskyi—15612982
LAug 14 · 12:25A. Nikolenko—10850V. Ivanytskyi—1211113
WAug 11 · 07:55A. Nikolenko—119113123V. Ivanytskyi—811511102
LAug 10 · 16:55A. Nikolenko—5118101V. Ivanytskyi—11611123
A. Nikolenko10
WSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141LSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142LSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113LSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 17:55M. Treschetka1.731112123A. Nikolenko2.00910100LSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113LSep 2 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.80911761Y. Melnyk1.9111211113LSep 2 · 12:25A. Nikolenko1.73171191142M. Dunas2.00198118113
V. Ivanytskyi10
WSep 9 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi1.678930V. Ivanytskyi2.101111113LSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.4411119992V. Ivanytskyi2.63751111113WSep 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka1.40117118162V. Ivanytskyi2.75711711183WSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113WSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113LSep 2 · 18:25Y. Melnyk1.731111113V. Ivanytskyi2.006870LSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070WSep 2 · 15:55A. Nikolenko2.6371111862V. Ivanytskyi1.44117811113WSep 2 · 13:55O. Maslovskyi1.50117541V. Ivanytskyi2.5071111113
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