TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100661
Played Sep 9Finished
Mykhailo Dunas
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116116113––––
Oleksandr Bolnyh
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:18 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Dunas to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Dunas above · Oleksandr Bolnyh below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 48 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Mykhailo Dunas at 60.5%
48 points played in total.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:18What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Dunas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Dunas 1068 vs Bolnyh 828
Dunas
Correct
both rated, 240 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dunas 20% vs Bolnyh 80%
Bolnyh
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dunas 30% vs Bolnyh 70%
Bolnyh
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dunas -3 · Bolnyh -1
Dunas
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Dunas) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bolnyh form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDunas 1.44 / Bolnyh 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Dunas)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13100661
Dunas1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite44% won 8 of 18
Up 2–0, closes it80% 4 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it58% 7 of 12
Bolnyh2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 41 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back22% 14 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDunasBolnyhBasisWin rate · lifetime19 / 54 vs 83 / 17935.2%46.4%19 / 54 vs 83 / 179Avg sets wonper match1.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.536.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DunasDunas 1.44/Bolnyh 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Dunas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dunas won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Dunas10
LSep 9 · 12:55I. Fokin1.6711811113M. Dunas2.10311981LSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113LSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113WSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 05:55M. Dunas3.40971541O. Maksymkiv1.30111113113LSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113WSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070LSep 2 · 15:25Y. Melnyk1.801111113M. Dunas1.916860LSep 2 · 13:25M. Treschetka1.8351111113M. Dunas1.83119421
O. Bolnyh10
LSep 9 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi1.501116113O. Bolnyh2.5071450WSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101WSep 5 · 09:25O. Kulbach5.005940O. Bolnyh1.141111113WSep 5 · 07:25M. Kornijchuk1.835670O. Bolnyh1.831111113WSep 5 · 06:25O. Bolnyh1.4411116113M. Senyk2.63771181WSep 5 · 05:25A. Lanchut8.00781171O. Bolnyh1.0611119113WAug 30 · 10:25O. Bolnyh3.25117119113P. Chyzh1.3391191132WAug 30 · 08:55O. Bolnyh1.91511911113V. Sydorchuk1.8011911662LAug 30 · 07:25O. Bolnyh4.506970V. Ivanytskyi1.171111113LAug 30 · 05:55O. Bolnyh4.50451151Y. Shcherbak1.1711113113
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