TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100652
Played Sep 9Finished
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12106111311113––
Mykhailo Dunas
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Dunas to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Mykhailo Dunas below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 77 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Mykhailo Dunas at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 3–6 Mykhailo Dunas Oleksandr Maslovskyi has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:13What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Dunas
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Dunas
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1076 vs Dunas 1074
Maslovskyi
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 60% vs Dunas 40%
Maslovskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 60% vs Dunas 40%
Maslovskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi -1 · Dunas +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dunas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dunas form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 1.83 / Dunas 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dunas)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13100652
Maslovskyi1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Dunas1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi3wins
AwayDunas6wins
1 of 9 to a deciderDunas leads 6–3, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayDunas75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi1Dunas8n = 9Dunas took 8 of 9
S2Maslovskyi5Dunas4n = 9Maslovskyi took 5 of 9
S3Maslovskyi5Dunas4n = 9Maslovskyi took 5 of 9
S4Maslovskyi4Dunas4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away444%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiDunasM − DBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set18−7of 9Avg pointsper match34.339.0−4.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiDunasBasisWin rate · lifetime436 / 863 vs 20 / 5550.5%36.4%436 / 863 vs 20 / 55Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DunasMaslovskyi 1.83/Dunas 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dunas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Maslovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 3 · 08:55O. Maslovskyi—91111113M. Dunas—118781
LSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi—241181M. Dunas—11119113
WAug 31 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi—101411123M. Dunas—12127101
LAug 30 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi—712981M. Dunas—111011113
LAug 28 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi—7115101M. Dunas—11711123
LAug 27 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi—51161142M. Dunas—119117113
WAug 20 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi—11811113M. Dunas—411631
LAug 19 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi—571111M. Dunas—11119113
LAug 14 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi—85110M. Dunas—1111133
O. Maslovskyi10
LSep 9 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi1.678930V. Ivanytskyi2.101111113WSep 9 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi1.501116113O. Bolnyh2.5071450WSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113LSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113WSep 3 · 06:55M. Treschetka2.0065111182O. Maslovskyi1.73111189113WSep 3 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.36111116113A. Nikolenko3.00471841LSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko3.00155331O. Maslovskyi1.36131111113LSep 2 · 14:55M. Treschetka2.2051111113O. Maslovskyi1.61115471
M. Dunas10
WSep 9 · 13:55M. Dunas1.441111113O. Bolnyh2.636630LSep 9 · 12:55I. Fokin1.6711811113M. Dunas2.10311981LSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113LSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113WSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 05:55M. Dunas3.40971541O. Maksymkiv1.30111113113LSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113WSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113WSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas1.671112113V. Ivanytskyi2.1081070LSep 2 · 15:25Y. Melnyk1.801111113M. Dunas1.916860
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