TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105852
Played Sep 10Finished
Anatolii Nikolenko
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115119511511111
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:45 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Maslovskyi to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Nikolenko above · Oleksandr Maslovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 1-11
Point 80 set 5, 1-11 — our read held Oleksandr Maslovskyi at 67.9%
80 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Nikolenko 29–84 Oleksandr Maslovskyi Anatolii Nikolenko has won 29 of their 113 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:45What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Maslovskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-84 in 113
Maslovskyi
Correct
gap of 55 in 113, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nikolenko 1063 vs Maslovskyi 1050
Nikolenko
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nikolenko 80% vs Maslovskyi 20%
Nikolenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nikolenko 60% vs Maslovskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nikolenko -1 · Maslovskyi -3
Maslovskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Maslovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maslovskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNikolenko 2.75 / Maslovskyi 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Maslovskyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13105852
Nikolenko2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 41 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back23% 18 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 46
Maslovskyi1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 113 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it94% 60 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it81% 81 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNikolenko1wins
AwayMaslovskyi9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMaslovskyi leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNikolenko20%1 of 5
AwayMaslovskyi100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nikolenko5Maslovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Nikolenko2Maslovskyi8n = 10Maslovskyi took 8 of 10
S3Nikolenko3Maslovskyi7n = 10Maslovskyi took 7 of 10
S4Nikolenko3Maslovskyi5n = 8Maslovskyi took 5 of 8
S5Nikolenko0Maslovskyi3n = 3Maslovskyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNikolenkoMaslovskyiN − MBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match31.542.1−10.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNikolenkoMaslovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime329 / 693 vs 432 / 86147.5%50.2%329 / 693 vs 432 / 861Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaslovskyiNikolenko 2.75/Maslovskyi 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Maslovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Maslovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 06:55A. Nikolenko—11115512O. Maslovskyi—591111113
WSep 9 · 17:55A. Nikolenko—11411123O. Maslovskyi—6116101
LSep 3 · 05:25A. Nikolenko—471841O. Maslovskyi—111116113
LSep 2 · 16:55A. Nikolenko—155331O. Maslovskyi—131111113
LAug 19 · 13:25A. Nikolenko—161131O. Maslovskyi—11118113
LJun 22 · 11:25A. Nikolenko—61140O. Maslovskyi—1113113
LJun 21 · 16:25A. Nikolenko—11641182O. Maslovskyi—511119113
LJun 20 · 09:29A. Nikolenko—81170O. Maslovskyi—1113113
LJun 20 · 08:25A. Nikolenko—129931O. Maslovskyi—101111113
LJun 15 · 09:25A. Nikolenko—61191172O. Maslovskyi—113119113
A. Nikolenko10
LSep 10 · 04:55A. Nikolenko1.80111061192I. Fokin1.91812113113WSep 9 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi1.366116101A. Nikolenko3.0011411123WSep 9 · 16:55A. Nikolenko2.0071112113M. Dunas1.731121091WSep 9 · 15:55A. Nikolenko1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.006570WSep 9 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.8371311113I. Fokin1.831111751WSep 9 · 12:25A. Nikolenko3.0091111123V. Ivanytskyi1.361189101WSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141LSep 3 · 09:25M. Treschetka1.67711119163A. Nikolenko2.10118811142LSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113
O. Maslovskyi10
LSep 10 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi2.258115101I. Fokin1.5711811123LSep 10 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.917690V. Ivanytskyi1.801111113LSep 9 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi1.366116101A. Nikolenko3.0011411123LSep 9 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi2.00871181I. Fokin1.7311115113WSep 9 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi1.8312613113M. Dunas1.8310111131LSep 9 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi1.678930V. Ivanytskyi2.101111113WSep 9 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi1.501116113O. Bolnyh2.5071450WSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113LSep 3 · 07:55O. Maslovskyi4.3391111672O. Maksymkiv1.20116611113
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