TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100686
Played Sep 9Finished
Mykhailo Dunas
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1188111181311––
Viktor Ivanytskyi
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Dunas to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Dunas above · Viktor Ivanytskyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 81 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Mykhailo Dunas at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Dunas 1–1 Viktor Ivanytskyi Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:07What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dunas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Dunas 1049 vs Ivanytskyi 1066
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dunas 20% vs Ivanytskyi 40%
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dunas 30% vs Ivanytskyi 60%
Ivanytskyi
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dunas -2 · Ivanytskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ivanytskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivanytskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDunas 1.80 / Ivanytskyi 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Ivanytskyi)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13100686
Dunas1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite44% won 8 of 18
Up 2–0, closes it80% 4 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it58% 7 of 12
Ivanytskyi1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 26 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back33% 14 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back21% 5 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeDunas1wins
AwayIvanytskyi1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricDunasIvanytskyiD − IBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match40.031.0+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDunasIvanytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 57 vs 104 / 17335.1%60.1%20 / 57 vs 104 / 173Avg sets wonper match1.62.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvanytskyiDunas 1.80/Ivanytskyi 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Ivanytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dunas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas—11119692V. Ivanytskyi—041111113
WSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas—1112113V. Ivanytskyi—81070
M. Dunas10
LSep 9 · 16:55A. Nikolenko2.0071112113M. Dunas1.731121091LSep 9 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi1.8312613113M. Dunas1.8310111131WSep 9 · 13:55M. Dunas1.441111113O. Bolnyh2.636630LSep 9 · 12:55I. Fokin1.6711811113M. Dunas2.10311981LSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113LSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113WSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas1.671113125113A. Nikolenko2.10711141122LSep 3 · 05:55M. Dunas3.40971541O. Maksymkiv1.30111113113LSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113WSep 2 · 18:55O. Maslovskyi2.00241181M. Dunas1.7311119113
V. Ivanytskyi10
WSep 9 · 17:25V. Ivanytskyi1.1411811133O. Bolnyh5.005118111LSep 9 · 15:25I. Fokin1.9111119113V. Ivanytskyi1.80491171WSep 9 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi1.678930V. Ivanytskyi2.101111113LSep 9 · 12:25A. Nikolenko3.0091111123V. Ivanytskyi1.361189101LSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.4411119992V. Ivanytskyi2.63751111113WSep 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka1.40117118162V. Ivanytskyi2.75711711183WSep 3 · 06:25A. Nikolenko2.637370V. Ivanytskyi1.441111113WSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas1.5011119692V. Ivanytskyi2.40041111113LSep 2 · 18:25Y. Melnyk1.731111113V. Ivanytskyi2.006870
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