TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105979
Played Sep 10Finished
Mykhailo Dunas
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117113115––––
Anatolii Nikolenko
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Nikolenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykhailo Dunas above · Anatolii Nikolenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 48 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Anatolii Nikolenko at 54.0%
48 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Dunas 2–2 Anatolii Nikolenko Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:15What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dunas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dunas 1053 vs Nikolenko 1051
Dunas
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dunas 60% vs Nikolenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dunas 40% vs Nikolenko 60%
Nikolenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dunas -2 · Nikolenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dunas) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDunas 1.80 / Nikolenko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dunas)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13105979
Dunas1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite48% won 10 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it60% 9 of 15
Nikolenko1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 41 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back23% 18 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeDunas2wins
AwayNikolenko2wins
3 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDunas50%2 of 4
AwayNikolenkon = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dunas4Nikolenko0n = 4Dunas took 4 of 4
S2Dunas1Nikolenko3n = 4Nikolenko took 3 of 4
S3Dunas2Nikolenko2n = 4split evenly
S4Dunas0Nikolenko4n = 4Nikolenko took 4 of 4
S5Dunas2Nikolenko1n = 3Dunas took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricDunasNikolenkoD − NBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match44.846.2−1.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDunasNikolenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime23 / 62 vs 329 / 69337.1%47.5%23 / 62 vs 329 / 693Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DunasDunas 1.80/Nikolenko 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dunas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dunas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 9 · 16:55M. Dunas—1121091A. Nikolenko—71112113
WSep 3 · 07:25M. Dunas—1113125113A. Nikolenko—711141122
WSep 2 · 12:25M. Dunas—198118113A. Nikolenko—171191142
LAug 19 · 17:25M. Dunas—11511652A. Nikolenko—711711113
M. Dunas10
LSep 10 · 08:55M. Dunas2.006211121O. Maslovskyi1.7311116143LSep 10 · 07:25M. Dunas1.7341190V. Ivanytskyi2.001113113WSep 10 · 05:55M. Dunas2.6311129113I. Fokin1.442101141WSep 10 · 04:25M. Dunas1.171111113O. Bolnyh4.509360WSep 9 · 18:55M. Dunas1.8011811133V. Ivanytskyi1.918118111LSep 9 · 16:55A. Nikolenko2.0071112113M. Dunas1.731121091LSep 9 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi1.8312613113M. Dunas1.8310111131WSep 9 · 13:55M. Dunas1.441111113O. Bolnyh2.636630LSep 9 · 12:55I. Fokin1.6711811113M. Dunas2.10311981LSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113
A. Nikolenko10
LSep 10 · 09:25A. Nikolenko2.63115791V. Ivanytskyi1.4491111113WSep 10 · 08:25A. Nikolenko1.131113113O. Bolnyh5.5081170LSep 10 · 06:55A. Nikolenko2.7511115512O. Maslovskyi1.40591111113LSep 10 · 04:55A. Nikolenko1.80111061192I. Fokin1.91812113113WSep 9 · 17:55O. Maslovskyi1.366116101A. Nikolenko3.0011411123WSep 9 · 16:55A. Nikolenko2.0071112113M. Dunas1.731121091WSep 9 · 15:55A. Nikolenko1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.006570WSep 9 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.8371311113I. Fokin1.831111751WSep 9 · 12:25A. Nikolenko3.0091111123V. Ivanytskyi1.361189101WSep 3 · 11:25A. Nikolenko3.25121211113O. Maksymkiv1.331410141
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