TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106569
Played Sep 10Finished
Mykhailo Dunas
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4111113911––––
Viktor Ivanytskyi
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Dunas to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykhailo Dunas above · Viktor Ivanytskyi below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 59 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Mykhailo Dunas at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Dunas 2–2 Viktor Ivanytskyi Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:33What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dunas
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dunas 1066 vs Ivanytskyi 1088
Ivanytskyi
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dunas 60% vs Ivanytskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dunas 50% vs Ivanytskyi 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dunas +3 · Ivanytskyi +2
Dunas
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dunas)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDunas 1.73 / Ivanytskyi 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dunas)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13106569
Dunas1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite48% won 10 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it60% 9 of 15
Ivanytskyi2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 27 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back33% 14 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back21% 5 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeDunas2wins
AwayIvanytskyi2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDunas66.7%2 of 3
AwayIvanytskyin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dunas3Ivanytskyi1n = 4Dunas took 3 of 4
S2Dunas2Ivanytskyi2n = 4split evenly
S3Dunas2Ivanytskyi2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricDunasIvanytskyiD − IBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match36.833.8+3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDunasIvanytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime23 / 61 vs 107 / 17737.7%60.5%23 / 61 vs 107 / 177Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DunasDunas 1.73/Ivanytskyi 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dunas · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ivanytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 10 · 07:25M. Dunas—41190V. Ivanytskyi—1113113
WSep 9 · 18:55M. Dunas—11811133V. Ivanytskyi—8118111
LSep 3 · 04:25M. Dunas—11119692V. Ivanytskyi—041111113
WSep 2 · 17:25M. Dunas—1112113V. Ivanytskyi—81070
M. Dunas10
LSep 10 · 08:55M. Dunas2.006211121O. Maslovskyi1.7311116143WSep 10 · 05:55M. Dunas2.6311129113I. Fokin1.442101141WSep 10 · 04:25M. Dunas1.171111113O. Bolnyh4.509360WSep 9 · 18:55M. Dunas1.8011811133V. Ivanytskyi1.918118111LSep 9 · 16:55A. Nikolenko2.0071112113M. Dunas1.731121091LSep 9 · 14:55O. Maslovskyi1.8312613113M. Dunas1.8310111131WSep 9 · 13:55M. Dunas1.441111113O. Bolnyh2.636630LSep 9 · 12:55I. Fokin1.6711811113M. Dunas2.10311981LSep 3 · 10:25M. Dunas2.206780M. Treschetka1.611111113LSep 3 · 08:55M. Dunas1.57118781O. Maslovskyi2.2591111113
V. Ivanytskyi10
WSep 10 · 06:25V. Ivanytskyi1.141111113O. Bolnyh5.008840WSep 10 · 05:25O. Maslovskyi1.917690V. Ivanytskyi1.801111113LSep 9 · 18:55M. Dunas1.8011811133V. Ivanytskyi1.918118111WSep 9 · 17:25V. Ivanytskyi1.1411811133O. Bolnyh5.005118111LSep 9 · 15:25I. Fokin1.9111119113V. Ivanytskyi1.80491171WSep 9 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi1.678930V. Ivanytskyi2.101111113LSep 9 · 12:25A. Nikolenko3.0091111123V. Ivanytskyi1.361189101LSep 3 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi1.73111287113V. Ivanytskyi2.00610111132WSep 3 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv1.4411119992V. Ivanytskyi2.63751111113WSep 3 · 08:25M. Treschetka1.40117118162V. Ivanytskyi2.75711711183
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