TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121849
Played Sep 13Finished
Vsevolod Kheresko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7118111171181618
Vasil Salivonchyk
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVsevolod Kheresko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVsevolod Kheresko above · Vasil Salivonchyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 16-18
Point 108 set 5, 16-18 — our read held Vsevolod Kheresko at 54.0%
108 points played in total.
H2H Vsevolod Kheresko 13–15 Vasil Salivonchyk Vsevolod Kheresko has won 13 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:59What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kheresko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-15 in 28
Salivonchyk
Correct
gap of 2 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kheresko 1203 vs Salivonchyk 1243
Salivonchyk
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kheresko 40% vs Salivonchyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kheresko 40% vs Salivonchyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kheresko +1 · Salivonchyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kheresko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kheresko form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKheresko 1.73 / Salivonchyk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kheresko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13121849
Kheresko1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite70% won 95 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it95% 61 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it80% 78 of 98
Salivonchyk2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 34 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back31% 15 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKheresko7wins
AwaySalivonchyk3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKheresko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKheresko71.4%5 of 7
AwaySalivonchyk33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kheresko7Salivonchyk3n = 10Kheresko took 7 of 10
S2Kheresko6Salivonchyk4n = 10Kheresko took 6 of 10
S3Kheresko7Salivonchyk3n = 10Kheresko took 7 of 10
S4Kheresko5Salivonchyk5n = 10split evenly
S5Kheresko2Salivonchyk3n = 5Salivonchyk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhereskoSalivonchykK − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.638.9+4.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhereskoSalivonchykBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 421 vs 333 / 61549.9%54.2%210 / 421 vs 333 / 615Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhereskoKheresko 1.73/Salivonchyk 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kheresko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Salivonchyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko44101112113V. Salivonchyk361271071
LSep 6 · 12:25V. Kheresko43101111472V. Salivonchyk48126811113
LAug 10 · 05:55V. Kheresko4611811792V. Salivonchyk45511711113
WAug 3 · 07:25V. Kheresko3611311113V. Salivonchyk31611591
WAug 2 · 12:25V. Kheresko4211911113V. Salivonchyk36811981
WJul 20 · 07:25V. Kheresko46411119113V. Salivonchyk3711341182
LJul 13 · 05:55V. Kheresko4711118892V. Salivonchyk46761111113
WJul 12 · 15:25V. Kheresko481111114113V. Salivonchyk3955131152
WJul 6 · 07:25V. Kheresko4111712113V. Salivonchyk377111091
WJul 5 · 13:25V. Kheresko4311119123V. Salivonchyk348511101
V. Kheresko10
WSep 13 · 12:55O. Sapuzhak3.50311661V. Kheresko1.2811911113LSep 8 · 18:55K. Tkachenko1.221111113V. Kheresko4.006790LSep 8 · 17:25V. Kheresko2.10101181262S. Kryvoshyi1.671291110113LSep 8 · 15:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.5311114113V. Kheresko2.38941171WSep 8 · 13:25D. Belanchik2.50107111162V. Kheresko1.50121157113LSep 8 · 12:25D. Kozoriz1.301114113V. Kheresko3.4061280LSep 7 · 11:25V. Kheresko2.2051171152S. Kryvoshyi1.61115119113WSep 7 · 09:25M. Treschetka2.2091111582V. Kheresko1.61113411113LSep 7 · 07:25H. Oliynyk1.5311911113V. Kheresko2.38811861WSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071
V. Salivonchyk10
LSep 13 · 11:55I. Fokin2.381111103V. Salivonchyk1.539780WSep 7 · 10:55O. Maksymkiv1.80711481V. Salivonchyk1.9111911113LSep 7 · 09:55S. Kryvoshyi1.281112113V. Salivonchyk3.5061090WSep 7 · 08:25M. Treschetka2.101110731V. Salivonchyk1.6761211113LSep 7 · 06:25V. Kheresko1.80101112113V. Salivonchyk1.911271071WSep 7 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.308950V. Salivonchyk3.401111113WSep 6 · 17:55O. Sapuzhak2.2010250V. Salivonchyk1.611211113LSep 6 · 16:55V. Salivonchyk1.73771181M. Treschetka2.0011111103LSep 6 · 15:55V. Salivonchyk1.9111196892O. Maksymkiv1.807171111113LSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113
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