TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117014
Played Sep 12Finished
David Sabuka
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611811118711––
Jakub Dufek Jnr
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Dufek Jnr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Sabuka above · Jakub Dufek Jnr below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 73 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Jakub Dufek Jnr at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H David Sabuka 0–1 Jakub Dufek Jnr David Sabuka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:22What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jnr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sabuka 1326 vs Jnr 1356
Jnr
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sabuka 60% vs Jnr 40%
Sabuka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sabuka 50% vs Jnr 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sabuka -1 · Jnr -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jnr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jnr form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSabuka 2.00 / Jnr 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jnr)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13117014
Sabuka2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 30 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 39
Jnr1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 95 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it90% 47 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it74% 67 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSabuka0wins
AwayJnr1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderJnr leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSabukaJnrS − JBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match43.049.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSabukaJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 515 vs 244 / 47147.2%51.8%243 / 515 vs 244 / 471Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrSabuka 2.00/Jnr 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jnr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 22 · 12:00D. Sabuka4375111192J. Jnr49111197113
D. Sabuka10
WSep 12 · 20:34D. Sabuka1.911111113J. Mares1.804220LSep 12 · 18:30J. Mares2.383131373D. Sabuka1.5311111151WSep 12 · 18:00J. Seeman2.00123112132D. Sabuka1.7310111110153WSep 1 · 08:43D. Sabuka1.221111113A. Skyba4.007940LSep 1 · 08:00M. Cmil1.731111114143D. Sabuka2.00613911122WSep 1 · 07:00A. Skyba3.751111791D. Sabuka1.2513611113LSep 1 · 05:30M. Cervenka4.5011411133D. Sabuka1.178119111WAug 31 · 13:03J. Seeman1.9175111112D. Sabuka1.80111186113LAug 31 · 11:30V. Kucala2.20111011113D. Sabuka1.61912141LAug 31 · 11:00D. Sabuka1.678117111J. Seeman2.1011711133
J. Jnr10
LSep 12 · 19:00J. Seeman1.91611912113J. Jnr1.801171110102WSep 12 · 17:30J. Mares3.7531250J. Jnr1.251114113LSep 9 · 12:58P. Moulis1.731111113J. Jnr2.006480LSep 9 · 12:00J. Jnr1.614860P. Moulis2.201111113WSep 9 · 10:30M. Melisek1.5381161192J. Jnr2.38118119113WSep 9 · 10:00J. Blazek2.10125991J. Jnr1.67101111113WSep 8 · 20:58M. Cmil1.831011111392J. Jnr1.831271311113LSep 8 · 20:00J. Jnr1.80511851M. Cmil1.9111711113WSep 8 · 18:30V. Coubal2.758314121J. Jnr1.40111112143WSep 8 · 18:00M. Vydra2.63611691J. Jnr1.4411911113
Upcoming Matches
D. Sabuka
Nothing scheduled
J. Jnr
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.