TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117784
Played Sep 12Finished
Jan Seeman
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
61111791112101110
Jakub Dufek Jnr
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Dufek Jnr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Seeman above · Jakub Dufek Jnr below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-10
Point 98 set 5, 11-10 — our read held Jakub Dufek Jnr at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Jan Seeman 9–14 Jakub Dufek Jnr Jan Seeman has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:14What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jnr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-14 in 23
Jnr
Wrong
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Seeman 1303 vs Jnr 1335
Jnr
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Seeman 60% vs Jnr 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Seeman 70% vs Jnr 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Seeman -1 · Jnr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jnr)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeeman 1.91 / Jnr 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jnr)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13117784
Seeman1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 35 of 91
Down 0–1, comes back25% 12 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Jnr1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 95 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it90% 47 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it74% 67 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSeeman4wins
AwayJnr6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJnr leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeeman37.5%3 of 8
AwayJnrn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Seeman8Jnr2n = 10Seeman took 8 of 10
S2Seeman5Jnr5n = 10split evenly
S3Seeman4Jnr6n = 10Jnr took 6 of 10
S4Seeman1Jnr7n = 8Jnr took 7 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSeemanJnrS − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.438.9−0.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeemanJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 266 vs 244 / 47045.9%51.9%122 / 266 vs 244 / 470Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrSeeman 1.91/Jnr 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Seeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman4211119113J. Jnr32681171
WSep 3 · 12:00J. Seeman341112113J. Jnr2891090
WAug 23 · 21:03J. Seeman331111113J. Jnr207850
LAug 23 · 20:00J. Seeman3411310101J. Jnr4161112123
LAug 16 · 17:00J. Seeman409121181J. Jnr45111013113
LAug 16 · 16:00J. Seeman32118581J. Jnr3851111113
LJul 24 · 18:30J. Seeman32126861J. Jnr43101111113
WJul 18 · 20:59J. Seeman529111110113J. Jnr4311861262
LJul 18 · 18:00J. Seeman47111014482J. Jnr548121211113
LJul 18 · 12:58J. Seeman38149961J. Jnr45121111113
J. Seeman10
WSep 13 · 16:59J. Seeman1.44101111123L. Krutina2.631288101WSep 13 · 16:00L. Krutina1.91491181J. Seeman1.8011118113LSep 13 · 15:00M. Holub2.75111171133J. Seeman1.40491111112WSep 13 · 13:30M. Snizek2.20137641J. Seeman1.6111111193WSep 12 · 21:03J. Jnr2.20111012772J. Seeman1.619121011113WSep 12 · 19:30J. Mares2.7514280J. Seeman1.401611113LSep 12 · 18:00J. Seeman2.00123112132D. Sabuka1.7310111110153WSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171WSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 11:00J. Krejcik2.001111113J. Seeman1.733940
J. Jnr10
LSep 13 · 20:35P. Moulis1.441112123J. Jnr2.63910100LSep 13 · 19:30J. Mejzlik1.53147811143J. Jnr2.381211118122WSep 13 · 19:00J. Jnr2.501611113P. Moulis1.5014660LSep 13 · 18:00J. Jnr2.631112551J. Hanacek1.44131011113LSep 12 · 21:03J. Jnr2.20111012772J. Seeman1.619121011113WSep 12 · 20:00D. Sabuka2.00681171J. Jnr1.7311118113WSep 12 · 17:30J. Mares3.7531250J. Jnr1.251114113LSep 9 · 12:58P. Moulis1.731111113J. Jnr2.006480LSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171LSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113
Upcoming Matches
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J. Jnr
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