TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122512
Played Sep 13Finished
Jakub Mejzlik
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
14127118111181412
Jakub Dufek Jnr
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:32 and never touched — 64.8% is still 64.8%
Graded at full timeJakub Mejzlik to win
64.8%
64.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Mejzlik above · Jakub Dufek Jnr below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 108 set 5, 14-12 — our read held Jakub Mejzlik at 64.8%
108 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Mejzlik 9–4 Jakub Dufek Jnr Jakub Dufek Jnr has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:32What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Mejzlik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-4 in 13
Mejzlik
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mejzlik 1471 vs Jnr 1374
Mejzlik
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mejzlik 60% vs Jnr 40%
Mejzlik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mejzlik 80% vs Jnr 50%
Mejzlik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mejzlik +2 · Jnr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Mejzlik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMejzlik 1.53 / Jnr 2.38
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Mejzlik)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13122512
Mejzlik1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 51 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it86% 42 of 49
Jnr2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 74 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back30% 21 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMejzlik6wins
AwayJnr4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMejzlik leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMejzlik100%4 of 4
AwayJnr66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mejzlik4Jnr6n = 10Jnr took 6 of 10
S2Mejzlik6Jnr4n = 10Mejzlik took 6 of 10
S3Mejzlik7Jnr3n = 10Mejzlik took 7 of 10
S4Mejzlik3Jnr3n = 6split evenly
S5Mejzlik2Jnr1n = 3Mejzlik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMejzlikJnrM − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.335.7+0.6per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMejzlikJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 293 vs 246 / 47549.2%51.8%144 / 293 vs 246 / 475Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MejzlikMejzlik 1.53/Jnr 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.8%
Mejzlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mejzlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 12 · 14:00J. Mejzlik3771141142J. Jnr49117119113
LJul 5 · 12:48J. Mejzlik29511761J. Jnr4211911113
WJul 5 · 10:15J. Mejzlik331111113J. Jnr217770
WJul 2 · 10:00J. Mejzlik351212113J. Jnr27101070
WMay 28 · 12:59J. Mejzlik52912126133J. Jnr5311101011112
LMay 28 · 12:00J. Mejzlik2451090J. Jnr341112113
WMay 19 · 17:05J. Mejzlik4011711113J. Jnr26311751
LMay 19 · 16:00J. Mejzlik284111121J. Jnr4211137113
WMar 30 · 09:30J. Mejzlik361111143J. Jnr2273120
WJul 25 · 09:10J. Mejzlik49971111113J. Jnr4111115862
J. Mejzlik10
WSep 13 · 18:30J. Mejzlik1.801112113J. Hanacek1.9171030WSep 13 · 17:30J. Mejzlik1.5311117113P. Moulis2.38741191LSep 9 · 21:08J. Mejzlik2.108680O. Karpisek1.671111113WSep 9 · 20:00J. Mejzlik3.004111311113M. Vana1.36119111382LSep 9 · 18:30O. Karpisek1.801111910113J. Mejzlik1.9194111272WSep 9 · 17:59J. Hanacek1.83145100J. Mejzlik1.831611123WSep 8 · 08:34J. Mejzlik1.801213114113O. Plyska1.91101581192WSep 8 · 07:30O. Plyska1.8381111572J. Mejzlik1.83116711113WSep 8 · 07:00J. Mejzlik1.67113114113J. Puk2.1071191172WSep 8 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.83711911113A. Dvoracek1.8311511752
J. Jnr10
WSep 13 · 19:00J. Jnr2.501611113P. Moulis1.5014660LSep 13 · 18:00J. Jnr2.631112551J. Hanacek1.44131011113LSep 12 · 21:03J. Jnr2.20111012772J. Seeman1.619121011113WSep 12 · 20:00D. Sabuka2.00681171J. Jnr1.7311118113LSep 12 · 19:00J. Seeman1.91611912113J. Jnr1.801171110102WSep 12 · 17:30J. Mares3.7531250J. Jnr1.251114113LSep 9 · 12:58P. Moulis1.731111113J. Jnr2.006480LSep 9 · 12:00J. Jnr1.614860P. Moulis2.201111113WSep 9 · 10:30M. Melisek1.5381161192J. Jnr2.38118119113WSep 9 · 10:00J. Blazek2.10125991J. Jnr1.67101111113
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J. Jnr
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