TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13101261
Played Sep 9Finished
Jakub Mejzlik
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
41111913111113118
Miroslav Vana
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:04 and never touched — 70.8% is still 70.8%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Vana to win
70.8%
70.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Mejzlik above · Miroslav Vana below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 102 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Miroslav Vana at 70.8%
102 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Mejzlik 0–5 Miroslav Vana Jakub Mejzlik has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:04What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Vana
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Vana
Wrong
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mejzlik 1459 vs Vana 1540
Vana
Wrong
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mejzlik 80% vs Vana 60%
Mejzlik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mejzlik 80% vs Vana 50%
Mejzlik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mejzlik -1 · Vana -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Vana)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vana form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMejzlik 3.00 / Vana 1.36
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Vana)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13101261
Mejzlik3.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 42 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back23% 10 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back18% 4 of 22
Vana1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 53 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it73% 41 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMejzlik0wins
AwayVana5wins
Vana leads 5–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMejzlikn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayVana100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mejzlik0Vana5n = 5Vana took 5 of 5
S2Mejzlik0Vana5n = 5Vana took 5 of 5
S3Mejzlik3Vana2n = 5Mejzlik took 3 of 5
S4Mejzlik0Vana3n = 3Vana took 3 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away360%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricMejzlikVanaM − VBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set05−5of 5Avg pointsper match29.438.6−9.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMejzlikVanaBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 297 vs 186 / 35548.5%52.4%144 / 297 vs 186 / 355Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanaMejzlik 3.00/Vana 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.8%
Vana · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mejzlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 13 · 15:00J. Mejzlik—761181M. Vana—11119113
LJul 27 · 08:40J. Mejzlik—6161181M. Vana—11187113
LJul 27 · 07:30J. Mejzlik—981191M. Vana—11115113
LAug 29 · 08:27J. Mejzlik—8590M. Vana—1111113
LAug 29 · 07:30J. Mejzlik—5640M. Vana—1111113
J. Mejzlik10
LSep 9 · 18:30O. Karpisek1.801111910113J. Mejzlik1.9194111272WSep 9 · 17:59J. Hanacek1.83145100J. Mejzlik1.831611123WSep 8 · 08:34J. Mejzlik1.801213114113O. Plyska1.91101581192WSep 8 · 07:30O. Plyska1.8381111572J. Mejzlik1.83116711113WSep 8 · 07:00J. Mejzlik1.67113114113J. Puk2.1071191172WSep 8 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.83711911113A. Dvoracek1.8311511752LSep 7 · 08:38J. Mejzlik2.1010111151P. Hlina1.6712313113WSep 7 · 07:30P. Hlina1.5311118652J. Mejzlik2.38681111113WSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982WSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971
M. Vana10
WSep 9 · 20:39M. Vana1.50111110113J. Hanacek2.50371281LSep 9 · 19:00J. Hanacek2.50115911113M. Vana1.5081111672WSep 9 · 17:30O. Karpisek2.103111141M. Vana1.6711613113LSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171WSep 3 · 11:15J. Marhol2.00812521M. Vana1.73111011113WSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192LSep 3 · 09:45M. Vana1.801186101O. Plyska1.9181111123WSep 2 · 08:33O. Plyska1.9111101111122M. Vana1.80812913143LSep 2 · 07:30M. Vana1.8011691162O. Plyska1.91711113113WSep 2 · 06:30M. Vana1.53121114113J. Hanacek2.381051691
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