TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105530
Played Sep 9Finished
Ondrej Karpisek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191149111012117
Jakub Mejzlik
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Mejzlik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Karpisek above · Jakub Mejzlik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 95 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jakub Mejzlik at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 17:53What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Karpisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Karpisek 1385 vs Mejzlik 1472
Mejzlik
Wrong
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Karpisek 0% vs Mejzlik 100%
Mejzlik
Wrong
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Karpisek 10% vs Mejzlik 80%
Mejzlik
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Karpisek -5 · Mejzlik +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Karpisek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mejzlik form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKarpisek 1.80 / Mejzlik 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Karpisek)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13105530
Karpisek1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite53% won 28 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it67% 18 of 27
Mejzlik1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 42 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back23% 10 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back18% 4 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKarpisekMejzlikBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 470 vs 144 / 29646.6%48.7%219 / 470 vs 144 / 296Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
MejzlikKarpisek 1.80/Mejzlik 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Karpisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Karpisek won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Karpisek10
LSep 9 · 17:30O. Karpisek2.103111141M. Vana1.6711613113LAug 31 · 21:09L. Hendrych1.7311129113O. Karpisek2.004101171LAug 31 · 20:00O. Karpisek1.80113571L. Hendrych1.91111111113LAug 31 · 18:30T. Stejskal2.631111113O. Karpisek1.449460LAug 31 · 18:00M. Vana1.8311119113O. Karpisek1.83641181LAug 17 · 20:33O. Karpisek1.837280J. Tichy1.831111113LAug 17 · 19:30J. Tichy1.91911119113O. Karpisek1.8011781142LAug 17 · 19:00O. Karpisek2.105930P. Hala1.671111113LAug 17 · 18:00O. Karpisek1.91135100S. Kalensky1.801511123WAug 14 · 16:14J. Juppa1.5311661192O. Karpisek2.38711119113
J. Mejzlik10
WSep 9 · 17:59J. Hanacek1.83145100J. Mejzlik1.831611123WSep 8 · 08:34J. Mejzlik1.801213114113O. Plyska1.91101581192WSep 8 · 07:30O. Plyska1.8381111572J. Mejzlik1.83116711113WSep 8 · 07:00J. Mejzlik1.67113114113J. Puk2.1071191172WSep 8 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.83711911113A. Dvoracek1.8311511752LSep 7 · 08:38J. Mejzlik2.1010111151P. Hlina1.6712313113WSep 7 · 07:30P. Hlina1.5311118652J. Mejzlik2.38681111113WSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982WSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971LAug 25 · 08:33J. Mejzlik1.917750P. Hlina1.801111113
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