TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13097794
Played Sep 8Finished
Jakub Mejzlik
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12101315118411119
Oleh Plyska
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJakub Mejzlik above · Oleh Plyska below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 104 set 5, 11-9
104 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Mejzlik 5–6 Oleh Plyska Jakub Mejzlik has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Mejzlik beat Plyska 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Plyska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plyska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMejzlik 1.80 / Plyska 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Plyska)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13097794
Mejzlik1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 50 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it84% 41 of 49
Plyska1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog42% won 70 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back26% 22 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMejzlik5wins
AwayPlyska5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMejzlik66.7%4 of 6
AwayPlyska75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mejzlik6Plyska4n = 10Mejzlik took 6 of 10
S2Mejzlik5Plyska5n = 10split evenly
S3Mejzlik5Plyska5n = 10split evenly
S4Mejzlik4Plyska4n = 8split evenly
S5Mejzlik3Plyska4n = 7Plyska took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMejzlikPlyskaM − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.241.5+0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMejzlikPlyskaBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 298 vs 343 / 69348.3%49.5%144 / 298 vs 343 / 693Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlyskaMejzlik 1.80/Plyska 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Plyska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mejzlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 07:30J. Mejzlik—116711113O. Plyska—81111572
WSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik—91111113O. Plyska—115971
LAug 17 · 09:03J. Mejzlik—11911682O. Plyska—811811113
LAug 17 · 06:30J. Mejzlik—312111192O. Plyska—111495113
WAug 3 · 07:30J. Mejzlik—1111118113O. Plyska—41391122
WJul 26 · 07:00J. Mejzlik—111183113O. Plyska—76111192
LJun 6 · 16:00J. Mejzlik—13117442O. Plyska—1151111113
LJun 5 · 06:15J. Mejzlik—9970O. Plyska—1111113
LMay 27 · 05:30J. Mejzlik—91381192O. Plyska—1111118113
WMay 20 · 08:39J. Mejzlik—1111113O. Plyska—9970
J. Mejzlik10
WSep 8 · 07:30O. Plyska1.8381111572J. Mejzlik1.83116711113WSep 8 · 07:00J. Mejzlik1.67113114113J. Puk2.1071191172WSep 8 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.83711911113A. Dvoracek1.8311511752LSep 7 · 08:38J. Mejzlik2.1010111151P. Hlina1.6712313113WSep 7 · 07:30P. Hlina1.5311118652J. Mejzlik2.38681111113WSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982WSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971LAug 25 · 08:33J. Mejzlik1.917750P. Hlina1.801111113LAug 25 · 07:30P. Hlina2.20911119133J. Mejzlik1.61115611112WAug 25 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.3811911113M. Vorel1.53411761
O. Plyska10
LSep 8 · 07:30O. Plyska1.8381111572J. Mejzlik1.83116711113WSep 8 · 06:30O. Plyska1.6711811113A. Dvoracek2.10711651WSep 8 · 05:30O. Plyska1.441113113J. Puk2.6351160WSep 7 · 09:09M. Vorel1.67138111172O. Plyska2.10151188113WSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192LSep 7 · 06:30P. Hlina1.831241211113O. Plyska1.83141110962LSep 7 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.9191111113O. Plyska1.80115971WSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171WSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:15J. Marhol1.6110121112143O. Plyska2.201214910122
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