TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13101030
Played Sep 9Finished
Ondrej Karpisek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
3111161113411––
Miroslav Vana
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:47 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Vana to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Karpisek above · Miroslav Vana below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 70 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Miroslav Vana at 58.6%
70 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Karpisek 0–1 Miroslav Vana Ondrej Karpisek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:47What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vana
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Karpisek 1392 vs Vana 1550
Vana
Correct
both rated, 158 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Karpisek 0% vs Vana 60%
Vana
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Karpisek 10% vs Vana 50%
Vana
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Karpisek -5 · Vana -1
Karpisek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vana)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Karpisek form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKarpisek 2.10 / Vana 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Vana)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13101030
Karpisek2.10
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog36% won 26 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back29% 14 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Vana1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 53 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it73% 41 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKarpisek0wins
AwayVana1wins
Vana leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKarpisekVanaK − VBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match29.042.0−13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKarpisekVanaBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 478 vs 189 / 36146.9%52.4%224 / 478 vs 189 / 361Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanaKarpisek 2.10/Vana 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.6%
Vana · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vana won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 31 · 18:00O. Karpisek—641181M. Vana—11119113
O. Karpisek10
WSep 9 · 18:30O. Karpisek1.801111910113J. Mejzlik1.9194111272LAug 31 · 21:09L. Hendrych1.7311129113O. Karpisek2.004101171LAug 31 · 20:00O. Karpisek1.80113571L. Hendrych1.91111111113LAug 31 · 18:30T. Stejskal2.631111113O. Karpisek1.449460LAug 31 · 18:00M. Vana1.8311119113O. Karpisek1.83641181LAug 17 · 20:33O. Karpisek1.837280J. Tichy1.831111113LAug 17 · 19:30J. Tichy1.91911119113O. Karpisek1.8011781142LAug 17 · 19:00O. Karpisek2.105930P. Hala1.671111113LAug 17 · 18:00O. Karpisek1.91135100S. Kalensky1.801511123WAug 14 · 16:14J. Juppa1.5311661192O. Karpisek2.38711119113
M. Vana10
LSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171WSep 3 · 11:15J. Marhol2.00812521M. Vana1.73111011113WSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192LSep 3 · 09:45M. Vana1.801186101O. Plyska1.9181111123WSep 2 · 08:33O. Plyska1.9111101111122M. Vana1.80812913143LSep 2 · 07:30M. Vana1.8011691162O. Plyska1.91711113113WSep 2 · 06:30M. Vana1.53121114113J. Hanacek2.381051691LSep 2 · 05:30M. Vana1.83881181T. Bertho1.8311118113LAug 31 · 20:38M. Vana1.531181061T. Stejskal2.3871112113WAug 31 · 18:00M. Vana1.8311119113O. Karpisek1.83641181
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