TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100837
Played Sep 9Finished
Josef Hanacek
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118511911116117
Miroslav Vana
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:47 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Vana to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJosef Hanacek above · Miroslav Vana below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 90 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Miroslav Vana at 66.9%
90 points played in total.
H2H Josef Hanacek 3–9 Miroslav Vana Josef Hanacek has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:47What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vana
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-9 in 12
Vana
Wrong
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hanacek 1335 vs Vana 1557
Vana
Wrong
both rated, 222 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanacek 0% vs Vana 60%
Vana
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanacek 10% vs Vana 50%
Vana
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanacek -5 · Vana +1
Hanacek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Vana)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanacek 2.50 / Vana 1.50
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Vana)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13100837
Hanacek2.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog46% won 54 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back30% 19 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Vana1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 53 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it73% 41 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHanacek2wins
AwayVana8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVana leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHanacekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayVana77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hanacek1Vana9n = 10Vana took 9 of 10
S2Hanacek6Vana4n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10
S3Hanacek4Vana6n = 10Vana took 6 of 10
S4Hanacek4Vana4n = 8split evenly
S5Hanacek0Vana3n = 3Vana took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHanacekVanaH − VBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match36.040.5−4.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanacekVanaBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 439 vs 186 / 35451%52.5%224 / 439 vs 186 / 354Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanaHanacek 2.50/Vana 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.9%
Vana · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hanacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 10:45J. Hanacek—91471192M. Vana—1112114113
LSep 2 · 06:30J. Hanacek—1051691M. Vana—121114113
LAug 22 · 14:00J. Hanacek—71171142M. Vana—119118113
LAug 15 · 11:30J. Hanacek—7870M. Vana—1111113
LJul 27 · 05:30J. Hanacek—912541M. Vana—111011113
WJul 18 · 15:00J. Hanacek—101111113M. Vana—126651
LJul 13 · 05:30J. Hanacek—115431M. Vana—81111113
LJun 10 · 06:30J. Hanacek—7960M. Vana—1111113
LJun 8 · 11:00J. Hanacek—711111182M. Vana—117713113
WFeb 25 · 09:28J. Hanacek—91111113M. Vana—119731
J. Hanacek10
LSep 9 · 19:30O. Karpisek1.73311513113J. Hanacek2.00116111152LSep 9 · 17:59J. Hanacek1.83145100J. Mejzlik1.831611123LSep 8 · 16:39M. Melisek2.00112187153J. Hanacek1.735111611132LSep 8 · 15:30J. Hanacek1.8371181262P. Kotrbacek1.831171110113LSep 8 · 14:30J. Hanacek1.50712771J. Blazek2.50111011113LSep 8 · 13:30J. Hanacek1.5710101161M. Melisek2.2512126113WSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870LSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690LSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133
M. Vana10
WSep 9 · 17:30O. Karpisek2.103111141M. Vana1.6711613113LSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171WSep 3 · 11:15J. Marhol2.00812521M. Vana1.73111011113WSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192LSep 3 · 09:45M. Vana1.801186101O. Plyska1.9181111123WSep 2 · 08:33O. Plyska1.9111101111122M. Vana1.80812913143LSep 2 · 07:30M. Vana1.8011691162O. Plyska1.91711113113WSep 2 · 06:30M. Vana1.53121114113J. Hanacek2.381051691LSep 2 · 05:30M. Vana1.83881181T. Bertho1.8311118113LAug 31 · 20:38M. Vana1.531181061T. Stejskal2.3871112113
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