TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100964
Played Sep 9Finished
Ondrej Karpisek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
3111165111311115
Josef Hanacek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Karpisek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Karpisek above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 87 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Ondrej Karpisek at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:26What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Karpisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Karpisek 1398 vs Hanacek 1352
Karpisek
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Karpisek 20% vs Hanacek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Karpisek 10% vs Hanacek 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Karpisek +1 · Hanacek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Karpisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKarpisek 1.73 / Hanacek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Karpisek)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13100964
Karpisek1.73
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite53% won 28 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it67% 18 of 27
Hanacek2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 54 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back30% 19 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKarpisekHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 470 vs 225 / 44046.6%51.1%219 / 470 vs 225 / 440Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KarpisekKarpisek 1.73/Hanacek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Karpisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Karpisek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Karpisek10
WSep 9 · 18:30O. Karpisek1.801111910113J. Mejzlik1.9194111272LSep 9 · 17:30O. Karpisek2.103111141M. Vana1.6711613113LAug 31 · 21:09L. Hendrych1.7311129113O. Karpisek2.004101171LAug 31 · 20:00O. Karpisek1.80113571L. Hendrych1.91111111113LAug 31 · 18:30T. Stejskal2.631111113O. Karpisek1.449460LAug 31 · 18:00M. Vana1.8311119113O. Karpisek1.83641181LAug 17 · 20:33O. Karpisek1.837280J. Tichy1.831111113LAug 17 · 19:30J. Tichy1.91911119113O. Karpisek1.8011781142LAug 17 · 19:00O. Karpisek2.105930P. Hala1.671111113LAug 17 · 18:00O. Karpisek1.91135100S. Kalensky1.801511123
J. Hanacek10
WSep 9 · 19:00J. Hanacek2.50115911113M. Vana1.5081111672LSep 9 · 17:59J. Hanacek1.83145100J. Mejzlik1.831611123LSep 8 · 16:39M. Melisek2.00112187153J. Hanacek1.735111611132LSep 8 · 15:30J. Hanacek1.8371181262P. Kotrbacek1.831171110113LSep 8 · 14:30J. Hanacek1.50712771J. Blazek2.50111011113LSep 8 · 13:30J. Hanacek1.5710101161M. Melisek2.2512126113WSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870LSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690LSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133
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