TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106239
Played Sep 9Finished
Miroslav Vana
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1131171012118––
Josef Hanacek
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMiroslav Vana above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8
73 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Vana 9–4 Josef Hanacek Josef Hanacek has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Hanacek beat Vana 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Vana)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVana 1.50 / Hanacek 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Vana)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13106239
Vana1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 53 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it73% 41 of 56
Hanacek2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 54 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back30% 19 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVana8wins
AwayHanacek2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVana leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVana87.5%7 of 8
AwayHanacekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vana8Hanacek2n = 10Vana took 8 of 10
S2Vana5Hanacek5n = 10split evenly
S3Vana7Hanacek3n = 10Vana took 7 of 10
S4Vana4Hanacek4n = 8split evenly
S5Vana3Hanacek1n = 4Vana took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVanaHanacekV − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.836.5+5.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVanaHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime186 / 356 vs 225 / 44152.3%51%186 / 356 vs 225 / 441Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanaVana 1.50/Hanacek 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Vana · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vana won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 19:00M. Vana—81111672J. Hanacek—115911113
WSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana—1112114113J. Hanacek—91471192
WSep 2 · 06:30M. Vana—121114113J. Hanacek—1051691
WAug 22 · 14:00M. Vana—119118113J. Hanacek—71171142
WAug 15 · 11:30M. Vana—1111113J. Hanacek—7870
WJul 27 · 05:30M. Vana—111011113J. Hanacek—912541
LJul 18 · 15:00M. Vana—126651J. Hanacek—101111113
WJul 13 · 05:30M. Vana—81111113J. Hanacek—115431
WJun 10 · 06:30M. Vana—1111113J. Hanacek—7960
WJun 8 · 11:00M. Vana—117713113J. Hanacek—711111182
M. Vana10
LSep 9 · 20:00J. Mejzlik3.004111311113M. Vana1.36119111382LSep 9 · 19:00J. Hanacek2.50115911113M. Vana1.5081111672WSep 9 · 17:30O. Karpisek2.103111141M. Vana1.6711613113LSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171WSep 3 · 11:15J. Marhol2.00812521M. Vana1.73111011113WSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192LSep 3 · 09:45M. Vana1.801186101O. Plyska1.9181111123WSep 2 · 08:33O. Plyska1.9111101111122M. Vana1.80812913143LSep 2 · 07:30M. Vana1.8011691162O. Plyska1.91711113113WSep 2 · 06:30M. Vana1.53121114113J. Hanacek2.381051691
J. Hanacek10
LSep 9 · 19:30O. Karpisek1.73311513113J. Hanacek2.00116111152WSep 9 · 19:00J. Hanacek2.50115911113M. Vana1.5081111672LSep 9 · 17:59J. Hanacek1.83145100J. Mejzlik1.831611123LSep 8 · 16:39M. Melisek2.00112187153J. Hanacek1.735111611132LSep 8 · 15:30J. Hanacek1.8371181262P. Kotrbacek1.831171110113LSep 8 · 14:30J. Hanacek1.50712771J. Blazek2.50111011113LSep 8 · 13:30J. Hanacek1.5710101161M. Melisek2.2512126113WSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192LSep 2 · 06:30M. Vana1.53121114113J. Hanacek2.381051691
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