TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122423
Played Sep 13Finished
Jakub Mejzlik
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117114711119––
Pavel Moulis
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:12 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Mejzlik to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Mejzlik above · Pavel Moulis below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 71 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jakub Mejzlik at 64.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Mejzlik 8–6 Pavel Moulis Pavel Moulis has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:12What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Mejzlik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-6 in 14
Mejzlik
Correct
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mejzlik 1456 vs Moulis 1326
Mejzlik
Correct
both rated, 130 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mejzlik 60% vs Moulis 20%
Mejzlik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mejzlik 70% vs Moulis 40%
Mejzlik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mejzlik -1 · Moulis -4
Moulis
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Mejzlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moulis form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMejzlik 1.53 / Moulis 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Mejzlik)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13122423
Mejzlik1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 51 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it86% 42 of 49
Moulis2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 18 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMejzlik7wins
AwayMoulis3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMejzlik leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMejzlik100%6 of 6
AwayMoulis75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mejzlik6Moulis4n = 10Mejzlik took 6 of 10
S2Mejzlik5Moulis5n = 10split evenly
S3Mejzlik5Moulis5n = 10split evenly
S4Mejzlik7Moulis3n = 10Mejzlik took 7 of 10
S5Mejzlik2Moulis1n = 3Mejzlik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMejzlikMoulisMejzlik − MoulisBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.040.2+1.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMejzlikMoulisBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 299 vs 195 / 43348.5%45%145 / 299 vs 195 / 433Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MejzlikMejzlik 1.53/Moulis 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64%
Mejzlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mejzlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 15 · 16:18J. Mejzlik4011117113P. Moulis34691181
WApr 15 · 15:15J. Mejzlik4211711133P. Moulis398119111
WApr 13 · 07:30J. Mejzlik4111118113P. Moulis36971191
WApr 10 · 08:58J. Mejzlik4211911113P. Moulis34911771
WApr 10 · 05:30J. Mejzlik5912111510113P. Moulis51145131272
LMar 4 · 13:44J. Mejzlik3710116101P. Moulis4212711123
WMar 4 · 12:30J. Mejzlik45116611113P. Moulis4771111992
LJan 22 · 13:25J. Mejzlik3868111122P. Moulis50111198113
WJan 22 · 10:15J. Mejzlik4211119113P. Moulis27641161
LOct 7 · 05:15J. Mejzlik34771191P. Moulis4211119113
J. Mejzlik10
LSep 9 · 21:08J. Mejzlik2.108680O. Karpisek1.671111113WSep 9 · 20:00J. Mejzlik3.004111311113M. Vana1.36119111382LSep 9 · 18:30O. Karpisek1.801111910113J. Mejzlik1.9194111272WSep 9 · 17:59J. Hanacek1.83145100J. Mejzlik1.831611123WSep 8 · 08:34J. Mejzlik1.801213114113O. Plyska1.91101581192WSep 8 · 07:30O. Plyska1.8381111572J. Mejzlik1.83116711113WSep 8 · 07:00J. Mejzlik1.67113114113J. Puk2.1071191172WSep 8 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.83711911113A. Dvoracek1.8311511752LSep 7 · 08:38J. Mejzlik2.1010111151P. Hlina1.6712313113WSep 7 · 07:30P. Hlina1.5311118652J. Mejzlik2.38681111113
P. Moulis10
LSep 11 · 08:49P. Moulis2.2561231192M. Snizek1.571110119113LSep 11 · 08:00J. Puk1.571310128133P. Moulis2.2511121011112LSep 11 · 07:00F. Husek1.57119118113P. Moulis2.2551181152LSep 11 · 05:30M. Snizek1.73811511113P. Moulis2.0011511862WSep 9 · 12:58P. Moulis1.731111113J. Jnr2.006480WSep 9 · 12:00J. Jnr1.614860P. Moulis2.201111113LSep 9 · 11:00J. Blazek1.8391112113P. Moulis1.831171051WSep 9 · 09:30M. Melisek1.83611711112P. Moulis1.83119119133LSep 4 · 08:53P. Moulis2.3831111892M. Snizek1.53118611113WSep 4 · 08:00J. Puk1.6711141110142P. Moulis2.10816912163
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