TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106368
Played Sep 9Finished
Jakub Mejzlik
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611811––––
Ondrej Karpisek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJakub Mejzlik above · Ondrej Karpisek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 55 set 3, 8-11
55 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Mejzlik 0–1 Ondrej Karpisek Jakub Mejzlik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Karpisek beat Mejzlik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Karpisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Karpisek form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMejzlik 2.10 / Karpisek 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Karpisek)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13106368
Mejzlik2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 42 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back23% 10 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back18% 4 of 22
Karpisek1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite53% won 28 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it67% 18 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMejzlik0wins
AwayKarpisek1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKarpisek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMejzlikKarpisekM − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match43.052.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMejzlikKarpisekBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 298 vs 219 / 47048.7%46.6%145 / 298 vs 219 / 470Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KarpisekMejzlik 2.10/Karpisek 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Karpisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Karpisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 9 · 18:30J. Mejzlik—94111272O. Karpisek—1111910113
J. Mejzlik10
WSep 9 · 20:00J. Mejzlik3.004111311113M. Vana1.36119111382LSep 9 · 18:30O. Karpisek1.801111910113J. Mejzlik1.9194111272WSep 9 · 17:59J. Hanacek1.83145100J. Mejzlik1.831611123WSep 8 · 08:34J. Mejzlik1.801213114113O. Plyska1.91101581192WSep 8 · 07:30O. Plyska1.8381111572J. Mejzlik1.83116711113WSep 8 · 07:00J. Mejzlik1.67113114113J. Puk2.1071191172WSep 8 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.83711911113A. Dvoracek1.8311511752LSep 7 · 08:38J. Mejzlik2.1010111151P. Hlina1.6712313113WSep 7 · 07:30P. Hlina1.5311118652J. Mejzlik2.38681111113WSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982
O. Karpisek10
WSep 9 · 19:30O. Karpisek1.73311513113J. Hanacek2.00116111152WSep 9 · 18:30O. Karpisek1.801111910113J. Mejzlik1.9194111272LSep 9 · 17:30O. Karpisek2.103111141M. Vana1.6711613113LAug 31 · 21:09L. Hendrych1.7311129113O. Karpisek2.004101171LAug 31 · 20:00O. Karpisek1.80113571L. Hendrych1.91111111113LAug 31 · 18:30T. Stejskal2.631111113O. Karpisek1.449460LAug 31 · 18:00M. Vana1.8311119113O. Karpisek1.83641181LAug 17 · 20:33O. Karpisek1.837280J. Tichy1.831111113LAug 17 · 19:30J. Tichy1.91911119113O. Karpisek1.8011781142LAug 17 · 19:00O. Karpisek2.105930P. Hala1.671111113
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