TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13110989
Played Sep 11Finished
Filip Husek
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115911118811115
Pavel Moulis
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:57 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeFilip Husek to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Husek above · Pavel Moulis below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 90 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Filip Husek at 60.8%
90 points played in total.
H2H Filip Husek 5–4 Pavel Moulis Pavel Moulis has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Husek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Husek 1401 vs Moulis 1345
Husek
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Husek 0% vs Moulis 60%
Moulis
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Husek 40% vs Moulis 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Husek -5 · Moulis -1
Husek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Husek) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moulis form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHusek 1.57 / Moulis 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Husek)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13110989
Husek1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite52% won 14 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Moulis2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 20 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeHusek5wins
AwayMoulis4wins
2 of 9 to a deciderHusek leads 5–4, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHusek100%4 of 4
AwayMoulis80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Husek4Moulis5n = 9Moulis took 5 of 9
S2Husek3Moulis6n = 9Moulis took 6 of 9
S3Husek5Moulis4n = 9Husek took 5 of 9
S4Husek2Moulis2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away333%
These 9 meetings
MetricHusekMoulisH − MBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match33.733.9−0.2per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHusekMoulisBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 146 vs 198 / 43549.3%45.5%72 / 146 vs 198 / 435Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HusekHusek 1.57/Moulis 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Husek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Husek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 11 · 07:00F. Husek—119118113P. Moulis—51181152
WAug 3 · 13:30F. Husek—1111113P. Moulis—8790
LFeb 10 · 21:48F. Husek—6590P. Moulis—1111113
WFeb 10 · 19:30F. Husek—1111133P. Moulis—56110
WFeb 6 · 10:30F. Husek—911912113P. Moulis—115111072
WFeb 5 · 15:30F. Husek—111111113P. Moulis—913791
LDec 20 · 11:45F. Husek—671161P. Moulis—11115113
LApr 13 · 17:05F. Husek—9570P. Moulis—1111113
LApr 13 · 15:00F. Husek—7740P. Moulis—1111113
F. Husek10
WSep 11 · 07:30M. Snizek2.20713731F. Husek1.61111111113LSep 11 · 06:00F. Husek1.619101191J. Puk2.2011124113LSep 4 · 16:40P. Kotrbacek2.38127712113F. Husek1.531011111092LSep 4 · 15:30F. Husek2.0081191192L. Tuma1.73119115113LSep 4 · 14:30F. Husek2.0071111862P. Kotrbacek1.73118511113LSep 4 · 13:30F. Husek1.83511391K. Jirousek1.8311711113WAug 21 · 17:14J. Jnr1.731171251F. Husek2.0061114113WAug 21 · 15:30F. Husek1.911114116113M. Melisek1.80812131182WAug 21 · 14:30F. Husek2.7511611113E. Ondracek1.40611441LAug 21 · 13:30F. Husek1.9168131192J. Jnr1.801111119113
P. Moulis10
LSep 11 · 05:30M. Snizek1.73811511113P. Moulis2.0011511862WSep 9 · 12:58P. Moulis1.731111113J. Jnr2.006480WSep 9 · 12:00J. Jnr1.614860P. Moulis2.201111113LSep 9 · 11:00J. Blazek1.8391112113P. Moulis1.831171051WSep 9 · 09:30M. Melisek1.83611711112P. Moulis1.83119119133LSep 4 · 08:53P. Moulis2.3831111892M. Snizek1.53118611113WSep 4 · 08:00J. Puk1.6711141110142P. Moulis2.10816912163LSep 4 · 07:00M. Vorel1.3681111113P. Moulis3.00113531LSep 4 · 05:30M. Snizek1.6111116113P. Moulis2.20561151WSep 2 · 12:39P. Moulis2.3811121112113P. Cizek1.5381471472
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