TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13113971
Played Sep 11Finished
Pavel Moulis
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111210311119911
Michal Snizek
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingPavel Moulis above · Michal Snizek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 93 set 5, 9-11
93 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Moulis 3–9 Michal Snizek Pavel Moulis has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Snizek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snizek form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoulis 2.25 / Snizek 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Snizek)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13113971
Moulis2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 20 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Snizek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite56% won 43 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it74% 28 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoulis3wins
AwaySnizek7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSnizek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoulis25%1 of 4
AwaySnizek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moulis4Snizek6n = 10Snizek took 6 of 10
S2Moulis4Snizek6n = 10Snizek took 6 of 10
S3Moulis7Snizek3n = 10Moulis took 7 of 10
S4Moulis2Snizek6n = 8Snizek took 6 of 8
S5Moulis1Snizek3n = 4Snizek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoulisSnizekM − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.039.4−3.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoulisSnizekBasisWin rate · lifetime198 / 436 vs 175 / 33445.4%52.4%198 / 436 vs 175 / 334Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnizekMoulis 2.25/Snizek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Snizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Snizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 05:30P. Moulis—11511862M. Snizek—811511113
LSep 4 · 08:53P. Moulis—31111892M. Snizek—118611113
LSep 4 · 05:30P. Moulis—561151M. Snizek—11116113
LAug 29 · 20:00P. Moulis—117371M. Snizek—81111113
WApr 6 · 05:30P. Moulis—71111113M. Snizek—117671
WMar 4 · 12:00P. Moulis—4111111113M. Snizek—11133982
WFeb 27 · 09:29P. Moulis—1111113M. Snizek—6540
LFeb 27 · 06:30P. Moulis—1213115122M. Snizek—1411711143
LFeb 9 · 09:30P. Moulis—113591M. Snizek—81111113
LFeb 9 · 06:30P. Moulis—9830M. Snizek—1111113
P. Moulis10
LSep 11 · 08:00J. Puk1.571310128133P. Moulis2.2511121011112LSep 11 · 07:00F. Husek1.57119118113P. Moulis2.2551181152LSep 11 · 05:30M. Snizek1.73811511113P. Moulis2.0011511862WSep 9 · 12:58P. Moulis1.731111113J. Jnr2.006480WSep 9 · 12:00J. Jnr1.614860P. Moulis2.201111113LSep 9 · 11:00J. Blazek1.8391112113P. Moulis1.831171051WSep 9 · 09:30M. Melisek1.83611711112P. Moulis1.83119119133LSep 4 · 08:53P. Moulis2.3831111892M. Snizek1.53118611113WSep 4 · 08:00J. Puk1.6711141110142P. Moulis2.10816912163LSep 4 · 07:00M. Vorel1.3681111113P. Moulis3.00113531
M. Snizek10
LSep 11 · 07:30M. Snizek2.20713731F. Husek1.61111111113LSep 11 · 06:30M. Snizek3.005960J. Puk1.361111113WSep 11 · 05:30M. Snizek1.73811511113P. Moulis2.0011511862WSep 4 · 08:53P. Moulis2.3831111892M. Snizek1.53118611113LSep 4 · 07:30M. Snizek2.2061151172M. Vorel1.61117118113LSep 4 · 06:30M. Snizek2.6310660J. Puk1.441211113WSep 4 · 05:30M. Snizek1.6111116113P. Moulis2.20561151LAug 29 · 21:05M. Snizek1.44911471M. Cmil2.6311511113WAug 29 · 20:00M. Snizek1.8381111113P. Moulis1.83117371WAug 29 · 18:30M. Cmil1.57118661M. Snizek2.2531111113
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