TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121941
Played Sep 12Finished
Jakub Dufek Jnr
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11910121210711711
Jan Seeman
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJakub Dufek Jnr above · Jan Seeman below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 100 set 5, 7-11
100 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Dufek Jnr 14–10 Jan Seeman Jan Seeman has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Seeman beat Jnr 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Seeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seeman form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJnr 2.20 / Seeman 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Seeman)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13121941
Jnr2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 87 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back30% 24 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Seeman1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 35 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it86% 25 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJnr5wins
AwaySeeman5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJnr33.3%1 of 3
AwaySeeman42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jnr3Seeman7n = 10Seeman took 7 of 10
S2Jnr4Seeman6n = 10Seeman took 6 of 10
S3Jnr6Seeman4n = 10Jnr took 6 of 10
S4Jnr6Seeman2n = 8Jnr took 6 of 8
S5Jnr1Seeman2n = 3Seeman took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJnrSeemanJ − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.339.5−0.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJnrSeemanBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 472 vs 124 / 26851.9%46.3%245 / 472 vs 124 / 268Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeemanJnr 2.20/Seeman 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Seeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Seeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 19:00J. Jnr491171110102J. Seeman49611912113
LSep 3 · 12:58J. Jnr32681171J. Seeman4211119113
LSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr2891090J. Seeman341112113
LAug 23 · 21:03J. Jnr207850J. Seeman331111113
WAug 23 · 20:00J. Jnr4161112123J. Seeman3411310101
WAug 16 · 17:00J. Jnr45111013113J. Seeman409121181
WAug 16 · 16:00J. Jnr3851111113J. Seeman32118581
WJul 24 · 18:30J. Jnr43101111113J. Seeman32126861
LJul 18 · 20:59J. Jnr4311861262J. Seeman529111110113
WJul 18 · 18:00J. Jnr548121211113J. Seeman47111014482
J. Jnr10
WSep 12 · 20:00D. Sabuka2.00681171J. Jnr1.7311118113LSep 12 · 19:00J. Seeman1.91611912113J. Jnr1.801171110102WSep 12 · 17:30J. Mares3.7531250J. Jnr1.251114113LSep 9 · 12:58P. Moulis1.731111113J. Jnr2.006480LSep 9 · 12:00J. Jnr1.614860P. Moulis2.201111113WSep 9 · 10:30M. Melisek1.5381161192J. Jnr2.38118119113WSep 9 · 10:00J. Blazek2.10125991J. Jnr1.67101111113WSep 8 · 20:58M. Cmil1.831011111392J. Jnr1.831271311113LSep 8 · 20:00J. Jnr1.80511851M. Cmil1.9111711113WSep 8 · 18:30V. Coubal2.758314121J. Jnr1.40111112143
J. Seeman10
WSep 12 · 19:30J. Mares2.7514280J. Seeman1.401611113WSep 12 · 19:00J. Seeman1.91611912113J. Jnr1.801171110102LSep 12 · 18:00J. Seeman2.00123112132D. Sabuka1.7310111110153WSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171WSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 11:00J. Krejcik2.001111113J. Seeman1.733940WSep 3 · 09:30J. Blazek2.0092111162J. Seeman1.73111199113LAug 31 · 13:03J. Seeman1.9175111112D. Sabuka1.80111186113WAug 31 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.57713591J. Seeman2.25111111113WAug 31 · 11:00D. Sabuka1.678117111J. Seeman2.1011711133
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