TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13118222
Played Sep 12Finished
Jan Mares
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1416211811––––
Jan Seeman
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:23 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeJan Seeman to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Mares above · Jan Seeman below
Set 1 · 14-16
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 62 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Jan Seeman at 65.3%
62 points played in total.
H2H Jan Mares 1–1 Jan Seeman Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:23What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Seeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mares 1192 vs Seeman 1276
Seeman
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mares 20% vs Seeman 60%
Seeman
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mares 20% vs Seeman 70%
Seeman
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mares +1 · Seeman -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Seeman) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seeman form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMares 2.75 / Seeman 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Seeman)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13118222
Mares2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog34% won 13 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back26% 7 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18
Seeman1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 35 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it86% 25 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMares1wins
AwaySeeman1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMaresSeemanM − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match42.549.0−6.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaresSeemanBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 125 vs 122 / 26740%45.7%50 / 125 vs 122 / 267Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeemanMares 2.75/Seeman 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Seeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Seeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 10 · 15:30J. Mares42111110642J. Seeman51981211113
WJul 4 · 18:15J. Mares43115115113J. Seeman4791181182
J. Mares10
WSep 12 · 18:30J. Mares2.383131373D. Sabuka1.5311111151LSep 12 · 17:30J. Mares3.7531250J. Jnr1.251114113LAug 2 · 20:33V. Coubal1.731111113J. Mares2.008870LAug 2 · 19:30T. Stejskal1.361114113J. Mares3.0051220LAug 2 · 19:00J. Mares3.50961131P. Moulis1.2811116103WAug 2 · 18:00J. Mares2.251111119113V. Coubal1.5713971182LJul 28 · 20:38J. Mares2.10311751V. Coubal1.6711711113LJul 28 · 19:30V. Coubal1.73611119113J. Mares2.0011841152LJul 28 · 19:00J. Mares3.00115641M. Cmil1.3691111113LJul 28 · 18:00J. Mares3.4051111242J. Mejzlik1.30115711113
J. Seeman10
WSep 12 · 19:00J. Seeman1.91611912113J. Jnr1.801171110102LSep 12 · 18:00J. Seeman2.00123112132D. Sabuka1.7310111110153WSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171WSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 11:00J. Krejcik2.001111113J. Seeman1.733940WSep 3 · 09:30J. Blazek2.0092111162J. Seeman1.73111199113LAug 31 · 13:03J. Seeman1.9175111112D. Sabuka1.80111186113WAug 31 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.57713591J. Seeman2.25111111113WAug 31 · 11:00D. Sabuka1.678117111J. Seeman2.1011711133WAug 31 · 09:30V. Kucala2.25511991J. Seeman1.5711811113
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