TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121812
Played Sep 13Finished
Jakub Dufek Jnr
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11131210511511––
Josef Hanacek
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:50 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeJosef Hanacek to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Dufek Jnr above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 78 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Josef Hanacek at 66.9%
78 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Dufek Jnr 3–7 Josef Hanacek Jakub Dufek Jnr has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:50What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hanacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Hanacek
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jnr 1364 vs Hanacek 1387
Hanacek
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jnr 40% vs Hanacek 60%
Hanacek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jnr 50% vs Hanacek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jnr -1 · Hanacek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Hanacek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJnr 2.63 / Hanacek 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Hanacek)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13121812
Jnr2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 74 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back30% 21 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 41
Hanacek1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 59 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it81% 39 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJnr3wins
AwayHanacek7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHanacek leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJnr60%3 of 5
AwayHanacek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jnr5Hanacek5n = 10split evenly
S2Jnr4Hanacek6n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10
S3Jnr3Hanacek7n = 10Hanacek took 7 of 10
S4Jnr2Hanacek7n = 9Hanacek took 7 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJnrHanacekJ − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.640.5−4.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJnrHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 473 vs 228 / 44651.8%51.1%245 / 473 vs 228 / 446Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HanacekJnr 2.63/Hanacek 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Hanacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hanacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 11:15J. Jnr35611991J. Hanacek3711411113
LAug 22 · 16:29J. Jnr358114121J. Hanacek4311711143
LAug 22 · 15:00J. Jnr165920J. Hanacek331111113
WAug 19 · 18:45J. Jnr4112117113J. Hanacek371091171
LAug 18 · 11:00J. Jnr381191081J. Hanacek4391112113
WAug 11 · 11:00J. Jnr50111387113J. Hanacek46811111152
WJul 24 · 18:00J. Jnr44111111113J. Hanacek39813991
LJun 30 · 10:00J. Jnr31861161J. Hanacek3811115113
LMay 24 · 07:00J. Jnr34791351J. Hanacek44111111113
LMay 17 · 20:00J. Jnr32146661J. Hanacek45121111113
J. Jnr10
LSep 13 · 19:30J. Mejzlik1.53147811143J. Jnr2.381211118122WSep 13 · 19:00J. Jnr2.501611113P. Moulis1.5014660LSep 12 · 21:03J. Jnr2.20111012772J. Seeman1.619121011113WSep 12 · 20:00D. Sabuka2.00681171J. Jnr1.7311118113LSep 12 · 19:00J. Seeman1.91611912113J. Jnr1.801171110102WSep 12 · 17:30J. Mares3.7531250J. Jnr1.251114113LSep 9 · 12:58P. Moulis1.731111113J. Jnr2.006480LSep 9 · 12:00J. Jnr1.614860P. Moulis2.201111113WSep 9 · 10:30M. Melisek1.5381161192J. Jnr2.38118119113WSep 9 · 10:00J. Blazek2.10125991J. Jnr1.67101111113
J. Hanacek10
WSep 13 · 20:00J. Hanacek1.4411117113P. Moulis2.63891161LSep 13 · 18:30J. Mejzlik1.801112113J. Hanacek1.9171030WSep 12 · 16:29J. Hanacek2.0091113113J. Marhol1.731181181LSep 12 · 16:00J. Hanacek2.258770F. Kubos1.571111113WSep 12 · 14:30J. Marhol1.50115971J. Hanacek2.506111183LSep 12 · 14:00O. Karpisek1.5771211893J. Hanacek2.25111091172WSep 11 · 13:09A. Dvoracek1.8071361982J. Hanacek1.9111111117113LSep 11 · 12:00J. Hanacek1.911013141182A. Dvoracek1.801211166113WSep 11 · 10:30M. Melisek2.107101191J. Hanacek1.6711126113WSep 11 · 10:00F. Schmidtmayer1.61811101132J. Hanacek2.20119126113
Upcoming Matches
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