TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13115128
Played Sep 11Finished
Adam Dvoracek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71113116111917811
Josef Hanacek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingAdam Dvoracek above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 19-17
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 114 set 5, 8-11
114 points played in total.
H2H Adam Dvoracek 16–12 Josef Hanacek Josef Hanacek has won 12 of their 28 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Dvoracek beat Hanacek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dvoracek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDvoracek 1.80 / Hanacek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dvoracek)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13115128
Dvoracek1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 74 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it73% 54 of 74
Hanacek1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 53 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back30% 19 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDvoracek7wins
AwayHanacek3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDvoracek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDvoracek75%6 of 8
AwayHanacekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dvoracek8Hanacek2n = 10Dvoracek took 8 of 10
S2Dvoracek5Hanacek5n = 10split evenly
S3Dvoracek5Hanacek5n = 10split evenly
S4Dvoracek6Hanacek2n = 8Dvoracek took 6 of 8
S5Dvoracek2Hanacek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDvoracekHanacekD − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.439.3+3.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDvoracekHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 481 vs 227 / 44552.4%51%252 / 481 vs 227 / 445Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvoracekDvoracek 1.80/Hanacek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dvoracek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hanacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 12:00A. Dvoracek—1211166113J. Hanacek—1013141182
WAug 30 · 16:00A. Dvoracek—611411113J. Hanacek—11911752
WAug 29 · 16:59A. Dvoracek—12119103J. Hanacek—1091141
LAug 29 · 16:00A. Dvoracek—12861162J. Hanacek—1011112113
WAug 26 · 10:00A. Dvoracek—11119113J. Hanacek—661181
LAug 21 · 12:00A. Dvoracek—11951162J. Hanacek—611117113
LAug 19 · 20:48A. Dvoracek—961761J. Hanacek—111115113
WAug 19 · 19:45A. Dvoracek—12912123J. Hanacek—101110101
WAug 18 · 13:00A. Dvoracek—1412143J. Hanacek—1210120
WAug 18 · 10:00A. Dvoracek—1111113J. Hanacek—5730
A. Dvoracek10
WSep 11 · 12:00J. Hanacek1.911013141182A. Dvoracek1.801211166113WSep 11 · 11:00F. Schmidtmayer2.0094110A. Dvoracek1.731111133LSep 11 · 09:30M. Melisek2.6351111113A. Dvoracek1.44117461WSep 9 · 08:18A. Dvoracek2.7511715113M. Hasman1.409111331LSep 9 · 07:45M. Vorel1.80711112143A. Dvoracek1.91113611122LSep 9 · 06:45T. Bertho1.611112113A. Dvoracek2.2091020LSep 9 · 05:15M. Hasman1.501113113A. Dvoracek2.5061170WSep 8 · 09:03J. Puk2.00691171A. Dvoracek1.7311117113LSep 8 · 08:00A. Dvoracek1.441012481J. Puk2.63121011113LSep 8 · 06:30O. Plyska1.6711811113A. Dvoracek2.10711651
J. Hanacek10
LSep 11 · 12:00J. Hanacek1.911013141182A. Dvoracek1.801211166113WSep 11 · 10:30M. Melisek2.107101191J. Hanacek1.6711126113WSep 11 · 10:00F. Schmidtmayer1.61811101132J. Hanacek2.20119126113LSep 9 · 20:39M. Vana1.50111110113J. Hanacek2.50371281LSep 9 · 19:30O. Karpisek1.73311513113J. Hanacek2.00116111152WSep 9 · 19:00J. Hanacek2.50115911113M. Vana1.5081111672LSep 9 · 17:59J. Hanacek1.83145100J. Mejzlik1.831611123LSep 8 · 16:39M. Melisek2.00112187153J. Hanacek1.735111611132LSep 8 · 15:30J. Hanacek1.8371181262P. Kotrbacek1.831171110113LSep 8 · 14:30J. Hanacek1.50712771J. Blazek2.50111011113
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