TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111382
Played Sep 11Finished
Frantisek Schmidtmayer
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111191012116311
Josef Hanacek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:14 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Schmidtmayer to win
57.9%
57.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFrantisek Schmidtmayer above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 92 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Frantisek Schmidtmayer at 57.9%
92 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:14What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Schmidtmayer
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Schmidtmayer 1402 vs Hanacek 1336
Schmidtmayer
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schmidtmayer 60% vs Hanacek 20%
Schmidtmayer
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schmidtmayer 30% vs Hanacek 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Schmidtmayer +1 · Hanacek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Schmidtmayer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchmidtmayer 1.61 / Hanacek 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Schmidtmayer)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13111382
Schmidtmayer1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite57% won 67 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it73% 49 of 67
Hanacek2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 53 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back30% 19 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchmidtmayerHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 451 vs 225 / 44245.9%50.9%207 / 451 vs 225 / 442Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchmidtmayerSchmidtmayer 1.61/Hanacek 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Schmidtmayer · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hanacek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
F. Schmidtmayer10
WSep 11 · 12:39F. Schmidtmayer1.4481111113M. Melisek2.63119741WSep 11 · 11:30M. Melisek2.38117791F. Schmidtmayer1.5381111113LSep 11 · 11:00F. Schmidtmayer2.0094110A. Dvoracek1.731111133WSep 10 · 20:28M. Drabek1.73771171F. Schmidtmayer2.0011115113LSep 10 · 19:30F. Schmidtmayer1.83211641M. Drabek1.8311711113WSep 10 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer1.67101111113T. Stejskal2.10129581WSep 10 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer2.0091111113J. Pina1.73116881LSep 1 · 16:39P. Kotrbacek1.7311101011123F. Schmidtmayer2.00912126102LSep 1 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.759970T. Bertho1.401111113LSep 1 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.831411581P. Kotrbacek1.8316711113
J. Hanacek10
WSep 11 · 13:09A. Dvoracek1.8071361982J. Hanacek1.9111111117113LSep 11 · 12:00J. Hanacek1.911013141182A. Dvoracek1.801211166113WSep 11 · 10:30M. Melisek2.107101191J. Hanacek1.6711126113LSep 9 · 20:39M. Vana1.50111110113J. Hanacek2.50371281LSep 9 · 19:30O. Karpisek1.73311513113J. Hanacek2.00116111152WSep 9 · 19:00J. Hanacek2.50115911113M. Vana1.5081111672LSep 9 · 17:59J. Hanacek1.83145100J. Mejzlik1.831611123LSep 8 · 16:39M. Melisek2.00112187153J. Hanacek1.735111611132LSep 8 · 15:30J. Hanacek1.8371181262P. Kotrbacek1.831171110113LSep 8 · 14:30J. Hanacek1.50712771J. Blazek2.50111011113
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