TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13114955
Played Sep 11Finished
Frantisek Schmidtmayer
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811119117114––
Marian Melisek
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingFrantisek Schmidtmayer above · Marian Melisek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 72 set 4, 11-4
72 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Schmidtmayer 2–0 Marian Melisek Marian Melisek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Schmidtmayer beat Melisek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Schmidtmayer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melisek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchmidtmayer 1.44 / Melisek 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Schmidtmayer)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13114955
Schmidtmayer1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite57% won 67 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it73% 49 of 67
Melisek2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 65 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back24% 17 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSchmidtmayer2wins
AwayMelisek0wins
Schmidtmayer leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSchmidtmayerMelisekS − MBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match41.032.5+8.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchmidtmayerMelisekBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 454 vs 224 / 46545.8%48.2%208 / 454 vs 224 / 465Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchmidtmayerSchmidtmayer 1.44/Melisek 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Schmidtmayer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Schmidtmayer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 11 · 11:30F. Schmidtmayer—81111113M. Melisek—117791
WMay 24 · 15:15F. Schmidtmayer—9121193M. Melisek—1110731
F. Schmidtmayer10
WSep 11 · 11:30M. Melisek2.38117791F. Schmidtmayer1.5381111113LSep 11 · 11:00F. Schmidtmayer2.0094110A. Dvoracek1.731111133LSep 11 · 10:00F. Schmidtmayer1.61811101132J. Hanacek2.20119126113WSep 10 · 20:28M. Drabek1.73771171F. Schmidtmayer2.0011115113LSep 10 · 19:30F. Schmidtmayer1.83211641M. Drabek1.8311711113WSep 10 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer1.67101111113T. Stejskal2.10129581WSep 10 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer2.0091111113J. Pina1.73116881LSep 1 · 16:39P. Kotrbacek1.7311101011123F. Schmidtmayer2.00912126102LSep 1 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.759970T. Bertho1.401111113LSep 1 · 14:30F. Schmidtmayer1.831411581P. Kotrbacek1.8316711113
M. Melisek10
LSep 11 · 11:30M. Melisek2.38117791F. Schmidtmayer1.5381111113LSep 11 · 10:30M. Melisek2.107101191J. Hanacek1.6711126113WSep 11 · 09:30M. Melisek2.6351111113A. Dvoracek1.44117461WSep 9 · 12:29J. Blazek2.10211471M. Melisek1.6711811113WSep 9 · 11:30M. Melisek1.831111113J. Blazek1.839250LSep 9 · 10:30M. Melisek1.5381161192J. Jnr2.38118119113LSep 9 · 09:30M. Melisek1.83611711112P. Moulis1.83119119133WSep 8 · 16:39M. Melisek2.00112187153J. Hanacek1.735111611132LSep 8 · 16:00J. Blazek2.00711415113M. Melisek1.73118111352LSep 8 · 15:00P. Kotrbacek1.4411129113M. Melisek2.637101151
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