TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13103998
Played Sep 9Finished
Jan Blazek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
211118411711––
Marian Melisek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJan Blazek above · Marian Melisek below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 65 set 4, 7-11
65 points played in total.
H2H Jan Blazek 20–24 Marian Melisek Jan Blazek has won 20 of their 44 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Melisek beat Blazek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Melisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melisek form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlazek 2.10 / Melisek 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Melisek)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13103998
Blazek2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 51 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Melisek1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 46 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it82% 23 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it72% 33 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlazek5wins
AwayMelisek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlazek100%3 of 3
AwayMelisek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blazek3Melisek7n = 10Melisek took 7 of 10
S2Blazek7Melisek3n = 10Blazek took 7 of 10
S3Blazek2Melisek8n = 10Melisek took 8 of 10
S4Blazek6Melisek0n = 6Blazek took 6 of 6
S5Blazek1Melisek2n = 3Melisek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlazekMelisekB − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.037.2−5.2per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlazekMelisekBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 380 vs 225 / 46543.4%48.4%165 / 380 vs 225 / 465Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelisekBlazek 2.10/Melisek 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Melisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Melisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 11:30J. Blazek—9250M. Melisek—1111113
WSep 8 · 16:00J. Blazek—711415113M. Melisek—118111352
LAug 28 · 11:15J. Blazek—11161152M. Melisek—119118113
WAug 5 · 15:30J. Blazek—11111123M. Melisek—8611101
LJul 30 · 09:30J. Blazek—51171172M. Melisek—115115113
LJul 15 · 16:33J. Blazek—5160M. Melisek—1111113
LJul 15 · 14:30J. Blazek—8540M. Melisek—1111113
WJul 10 · 10:30J. Blazek—1111113M. Melisek—9790
WJun 24 · 12:38J. Blazek—11116143M. Melisek—5711121
WJun 24 · 11:00J. Blazek—81111123M. Melisek—1197101
J. Blazek10
LSep 9 · 11:30M. Melisek1.831111113J. Blazek1.839250WSep 9 · 11:00J. Blazek1.8391112113P. Moulis1.831171051LSep 9 · 10:00J. Blazek2.10125991J. Jnr1.67101111113WSep 8 · 17:08J. Blazek3.2511911113P. Kotrbacek1.33811491WSep 8 · 16:00J. Blazek2.00711415113M. Melisek1.73118111352WSep 8 · 14:30J. Hanacek1.50712771J. Blazek2.50111011113LSep 8 · 14:00P. Kotrbacek1.401112113J. Blazek2.7521090WSep 3 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.8391170J. Blazek1.831113113WSep 3 · 11:30J. Blazek1.731071513113J. Krejcik2.001211131162WSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek2.501071111113J. Jnr1.5012116972
M. Melisek10
WSep 9 · 11:30M. Melisek1.831111113J. Blazek1.839250LSep 9 · 10:30M. Melisek1.5381161192J. Jnr2.38118119113LSep 9 · 09:30M. Melisek1.83611711112P. Moulis1.83119119133WSep 8 · 16:39M. Melisek2.00112187153J. Hanacek1.735111611132LSep 8 · 16:00J. Blazek2.00711415113M. Melisek1.73118111352LSep 8 · 15:00P. Kotrbacek1.4411129113M. Melisek2.637101151WSep 8 · 13:30J. Hanacek1.5710101161M. Melisek2.2512126113WSep 1 · 12:38M. Melisek1.6191211113J. Jnr2.201110871LSep 1 · 12:00M. Melisek2.2011811842M. Vorel1.61511311113LSep 1 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.57911911113M. Melisek2.2511911832
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