TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116649
Played Sep 12Finished
Josef Hanacek
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711711––––
Filip Kubos
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:23 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeFilip Kubos to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJosef Hanacek above · Filip Kubos below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 55 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Filip Kubos at 61.7%
55 points played in total.
H2H Josef Hanacek 19–19 Filip Kubos Dead even across their 38 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:23What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kubos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-19 in 38
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hanacek 1392 vs Kubos 1553
Kubos
Correct
both rated, 161 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanacek 60% vs Kubos 80%
Kubos
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanacek 50% vs Kubos 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanacek +1 · Kubos -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Kubos)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kubos form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanacek 2.25 / Kubos 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Kubos)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13116649
Hanacek2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 55 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back30% 19 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Kubos1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 74 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it72% 56 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHanacek5wins
AwayKubos5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHanacek75%3 of 4
AwayKubos66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hanacek4Kubos6n = 10Kubos took 6 of 10
S2Hanacek4Kubos6n = 10Kubos took 6 of 10
S3Hanacek4Kubos6n = 10Kubos took 6 of 10
S4Hanacek4Kubos2n = 6Hanacek took 4 of 6
S5Hanacek2Kubos1n = 3Hanacek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHanacekKubosH − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.338.2+0.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanacekKubosBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 444 vs 368 / 71251.1%51.7%227 / 444 vs 368 / 712Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KubosHanacek 2.25/Kubos 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Kubos · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kubos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 16:00J. Hanacek205870F. Kubos321111103
LAug 26 · 12:58J. Hanacek381181271F. Kubos4371114113
WAug 26 · 11:00J. Hanacek361411113F. Kubos2012350
LAug 25 · 12:00J. Hanacek27101070F. Kubos351212113
WAug 2 · 16:28J. Hanacek50145119113F. Kubos51121181192
WAug 2 · 13:30J. Hanacek50911712113F. Kubos44115111072
WAug 1 · 17:15J. Hanacek4691112143F. Kubos3911610121
WJul 17 · 11:45J. Hanacek4111811113F. Kubos29411951
LJul 14 · 07:45J. Hanacek47121451152F. Kubos531412115113
LJul 13 · 09:03J. Hanacek2897120F. Kubos361111143
J. Hanacek10
WSep 12 · 14:30J. Marhol1.50115971J. Hanacek2.506111183LSep 12 · 14:00O. Karpisek1.5771211893J. Hanacek2.25111091172WSep 11 · 13:09A. Dvoracek1.8071361982J. Hanacek1.9111111117113LSep 11 · 12:00J. Hanacek1.911013141182A. Dvoracek1.801211166113WSep 11 · 10:30M. Melisek2.107101191J. Hanacek1.6711126113WSep 11 · 10:00F. Schmidtmayer1.61811101132J. Hanacek2.20119126113LSep 9 · 20:39M. Vana1.50111110113J. Hanacek2.50371281LSep 9 · 19:30O. Karpisek1.73311513113J. Hanacek2.00116111152WSep 9 · 19:00J. Hanacek2.50115911113M. Vana1.5081111672LSep 9 · 17:59J. Hanacek1.83145100J. Mejzlik1.831611123
F. Kubos10
LSep 12 · 15:00O. Karpisek2.1011118113F. Kubos1.67491181WSep 12 · 13:30J. Marhol2.007111251F. Kubos1.73111310103WSep 5 · 16:59F. Kubos1.8011911113S. Kalensky1.91311891WSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870WSep 5 · 14:30L. Hendrych1.578890F. Kubos2.251111113WSep 5 · 14:00S. Kalensky1.731181051F. Kubos2.008111293WSep 3 · 20:43F. Kubos2.50119119113M. Cizek1.5091181182LSep 3 · 20:00S. Kalensky1.73111139113F. Kubos2.0069111142LSep 3 · 19:00M. Cizek1.441011118113F. Kubos2.6312971152LSep 3 · 17:30J. Snr1.73871111113F. Kubos2.0011118572
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