TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117693
Played Sep 12Finished
Ondrej Karpisek
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114119811118––
Filip Kubos
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:53 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeFilip Kubos to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Karpisek above · Filip Kubos below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Filip Kubos at 59.8%
73 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Karpisek 1–4 Filip Kubos Ondrej Karpisek has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 23:53What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kubos
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Kubos
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Karpisek 1433 vs Kubos 1592
Kubos
Wrong
both rated, 159 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Karpisek 80% vs Kubos 100%
Kubos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Karpisek 40% vs Kubos 70%
Kubos
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Karpisek +4 · Kubos +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kubos)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kubos form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKarpisek 2.10 / Kubos 1.67
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Kubos)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13117693
Karpisek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog36% won 26 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back29% 14 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Kubos1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 74 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it72% 56 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKarpisek1wins
AwayKubos4wins
2 of 5 to a deciderKubos leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKarpisekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKubos75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Karpisek1Kubos4n = 5Kubos took 4 of 5
S2Karpisek1Kubos4n = 5Kubos took 4 of 5
S3Karpisek3Kubos2n = 5Karpisek took 3 of 5
S4Karpisek3Kubos1n = 4Karpisek took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricKarpisekKubosKarpisek − KubosBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match36.841.8−5.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKarpisekKubosBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 468 vs 368 / 71146.8%51.8%219 / 468 vs 368 / 711Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KubosKarpisek 2.10/Kubos 1.67
Miss
What we said
59.8%
Kubos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Karpisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 8 · 12:00O. Karpisek4161111133F. Kubos361195111
LMay 10 · 13:30O. Karpisek35881271F. Kubos43111110113
LApr 13 · 20:17O. Karpisek50119911102F. Kubos47611117123
LApr 13 · 17:45O. Karpisek3736111162F. Kubos50111189113
LApr 5 · 19:15O. Karpisek218850F. Kubos331111113
O. Karpisek10
WSep 12 · 14:00O. Karpisek1.5771211893J. Hanacek2.25111091172WSep 9 · 21:08J. Mejzlik2.108680O. Karpisek1.671111113WSep 9 · 19:30O. Karpisek1.73311513113J. Hanacek2.00116111152WSep 9 · 18:30O. Karpisek1.801111910113J. Mejzlik1.9194111272LSep 9 · 17:30O. Karpisek2.103111141M. Vana1.6711613113LAug 31 · 21:09L. Hendrych1.7311129113O. Karpisek2.004101171LAug 31 · 20:00O. Karpisek1.80113571L. Hendrych1.91111111113LAug 31 · 18:30T. Stejskal2.631111113O. Karpisek1.449460LAug 31 · 18:00M. Vana1.8311119113O. Karpisek1.83641181LAug 17 · 20:33O. Karpisek1.837280J. Tichy1.831111113
F. Kubos10
WSep 12 · 16:00J. Hanacek2.25870F. Kubos1.5711112WSep 12 · 13:30J. Marhol2.007111251F. Kubos1.73111310103WSep 5 · 16:59F. Kubos1.8011911113S. Kalensky1.91311891WSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870WSep 5 · 14:30L. Hendrych1.578890F. Kubos2.251111113WSep 5 · 14:00S. Kalensky1.731181051F. Kubos2.008111293WSep 3 · 20:43F. Kubos2.50119119113M. Cizek1.5091181182LSep 3 · 20:00S. Kalensky1.73111139113F. Kubos2.0069111142LSep 3 · 19:00M. Cizek1.441011118113F. Kubos2.6312971152LSep 3 · 17:30J. Snr1.73871111113F. Kubos2.0011118572
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