TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122162
Played Sep 13Finished
Jakub Mejzlik
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210113––––
Josef Hanacek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:04 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJakub Mejzlik to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Mejzlik above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 54 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Jakub Mejzlik at 55.8%
54 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Mejzlik 9–12 Josef Hanacek Jakub Mejzlik has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:04What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Mejzlik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-12 in 21
Hanacek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mejzlik 1464 vs Hanacek 1398
Mejzlik
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mejzlik 60% vs Hanacek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mejzlik 70% vs Hanacek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mejzlik +1 · Hanacek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mejzlik) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMejzlik 1.80 / Hanacek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mejzlik)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13122162
Mejzlik1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 51 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it86% 42 of 49
Hanacek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 53 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back31% 19 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMejzlik4wins
AwayHanacek6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHanacek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMejzlik50%4 of 8
AwayHanacekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mejzlik8Hanacek2n = 10Mejzlik took 8 of 10
S2Mejzlik3Hanacek7n = 10Hanacek took 7 of 10
S3Mejzlik5Hanacek5n = 10split evenly
S4Mejzlik5Hanacek4n = 9Mejzlik took 5 of 9
S5Mejzlik0Hanacek3n = 3Hanacek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMejzlikHanacekM − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.538.4+0.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMejzlikHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 292 vs 229 / 44749%51.2%143 / 292 vs 229 / 447Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MejzlikMejzlik 1.80/Hanacek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mejzlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mejzlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 17:59J. Mejzlik391611123J. Hanacek29145100
LAug 11 · 19:00J. Mejzlik3911411582J. Hanacek39311311113
WAug 10 · 16:58J. Mejzlik4011117113J. Hanacek33791161
LAug 10 · 13:30J. Mejzlik4211851172J. Hanacek49711119113
WJul 27 · 07:00J. Mejzlik43111011113J. Hanacek29212781
LJul 26 · 09:09J. Mejzlik4311691162J. Hanacek47611118113
WJul 26 · 06:00J. Mejzlik3511211113J. Hanacek27611551
LJul 25 · 20:53J. Mejzlik32116691J. Hanacek4181111113
LJul 25 · 17:45J. Mejzlik39817861J. Hanacek48111511113
LJul 15 · 16:59J. Mejzlik331081141J. Hanacek4212118113
J. Mejzlik10
WSep 13 · 19:30J. Mejzlik1.53147811143J. Jnr2.381211118122WSep 13 · 17:30J. Mejzlik1.5311117113P. Moulis2.38741191LSep 9 · 21:08J. Mejzlik2.108680O. Karpisek1.671111113WSep 9 · 20:00J. Mejzlik3.004111311113M. Vana1.36119111382LSep 9 · 18:30O. Karpisek1.801111910113J. Mejzlik1.9194111272WSep 9 · 17:59J. Hanacek1.83145100J. Mejzlik1.831611123WSep 8 · 08:34J. Mejzlik1.801213114113O. Plyska1.91101581192WSep 8 · 07:30O. Plyska1.8381111572J. Mejzlik1.83116711113WSep 8 · 07:00J. Mejzlik1.67113114113J. Puk2.1071191172WSep 8 · 06:00J. Mejzlik1.83711911113A. Dvoracek1.8311511752
J. Hanacek10
WSep 13 · 18:00J. Jnr2.631112551J. Hanacek1.44131011113WSep 12 · 16:29J. Hanacek2.0091113113J. Marhol1.731181181LSep 12 · 16:00J. Hanacek2.258770F. Kubos1.571111113WSep 12 · 14:30J. Marhol1.50115971J. Hanacek2.506111183LSep 12 · 14:00O. Karpisek1.5771211893J. Hanacek2.25111091172WSep 11 · 13:09A. Dvoracek1.8071361982J. Hanacek1.9111111117113LSep 11 · 12:00J. Hanacek1.911013141182A. Dvoracek1.801211166113WSep 11 · 10:30M. Melisek2.107101191J. Hanacek1.6711126113WSep 11 · 10:00F. Schmidtmayer1.61811101132J. Hanacek2.20119126113LSep 9 · 17:59J. Hanacek1.83145100J. Mejzlik1.831611123
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