TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122740
Played Sep 13Finished
Michal Snizek
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
131171161149––
Jan Seeman
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:01 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeJan Seeman to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Snizek above · Jan Seeman below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 4-9
Point 72 set 4, 4-9 — our read held Jan Seeman at 58.1%
72 points played in total.
H2H Michal Snizek 3–5 Jan Seeman Michal Snizek has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:01What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Seeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Seeman
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Snizek 1351 vs Seeman 1319
Snizek
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snizek 60% vs Seeman 80%
Seeman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snizek 50% vs Seeman 70%
Seeman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Snizek +1 · Seeman +3
Seeman
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Seeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seeman form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnizek 2.20 / Seeman 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Seeman)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13122740
Snizek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 18 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Seeman1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 34 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSnizek3wins
AwaySeeman5wins
1 of 8 to a deciderSeeman leads 5–3, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSnizek66.7%2 of 3
AwaySeeman80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Snizek3Seeman5n = 8Seeman took 5 of 8
S2Snizek5Seeman3n = 8Snizek took 5 of 8
S3Snizek4Seeman4n = 8split evenly
S4Snizek2Seeman3n = 5Seeman took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricSnizekSeemanSnizek − SeemanBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match33.435.2−1.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnizekSeemanBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 335 vs 125 / 26952.5%46.5%176 / 335 vs 125 / 269Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeemanSnizek 2.20/Seeman 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Seeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Seeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 29 · 18:00M. Snizek29114681J. Seeman3851111113
LAug 23 · 18:00M. Snizek185850J. Seeman331111113
WAug 16 · 13:30M. Snizek4061111123J. Seeman381189101
WJul 19 · 09:03M. Snizek331111113J. Seeman125430
LJul 19 · 06:00M. Snizek31611861J. Seeman4111811113
LJul 5 · 12:19M. Snizek5081191392J. Seeman501161111113
LJul 5 · 10:45M. Snizek29841251J. Seeman43111110113
WMar 8 · 13:00M. Snizek371211143J. Seeman27105120
M. Snizek10
WSep 11 · 08:49P. Moulis2.2561231192M. Snizek1.571110119113LSep 11 · 07:30M. Snizek2.20713731F. Husek1.61111111113LSep 11 · 06:30M. Snizek3.005960J. Puk1.361111113WSep 11 · 05:30M. Snizek1.73811511113P. Moulis2.0011511862WSep 4 · 08:53P. Moulis2.3831111892M. Snizek1.53118611113LSep 4 · 07:30M. Snizek2.2061151172M. Vorel1.61117118113LSep 4 · 06:30M. Snizek2.6310660J. Puk1.441211113WSep 4 · 05:30M. Snizek1.6111116113P. Moulis2.20561151LAug 29 · 21:05M. Snizek1.44911471M. Cmil2.6311511113WAug 29 · 20:00M. Snizek1.8381111113P. Moulis1.83117371
J. Seeman10
WSep 12 · 21:03J. Jnr2.20111012772J. Seeman1.619121011113WSep 12 · 19:30J. Mares2.7514280J. Seeman1.401611113WSep 12 · 19:00J. Seeman1.91611912113J. Jnr1.801171110102LSep 12 · 18:00J. Seeman2.00123112132D. Sabuka1.7310111110153WSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171WSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 11:00J. Krejcik2.001111113J. Seeman1.733940WSep 3 · 09:30J. Blazek2.0092111162J. Seeman1.73111199113LAug 31 · 13:03J. Seeman1.9175111112D. Sabuka1.80111186113WAug 31 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.57713591J. Seeman2.25111111113
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