TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122094
Played Sep 13Finished
Martin Holub
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1141197111111311
Jan Seeman
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:57 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeJan Seeman to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Holub above · Jan Seeman below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 1-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 89 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Jan Seeman at 65.7%
89 points played in total.
H2H Martin Holub 2–8 Jan Seeman Martin Holub has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:57What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Seeman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-8 in 10
Seeman
Wrong
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holub 1372 vs Seeman 1343
Holub
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holub 40% vs Seeman 80%
Seeman
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holub 60% vs Seeman 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holub -2 · Seeman +4
Seeman
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Seeman) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolub 2.75 / Seeman 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Seeman)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13122094
Holub2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 54 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back30% 15 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Seeman1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 34 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolub2wins
AwaySeeman8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSeeman leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolubn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySeeman87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holub2Seeman8n = 10Seeman took 8 of 10
S2Holub4Seeman6n = 10Seeman took 6 of 10
S3Holub3Seeman7n = 10Seeman took 7 of 10
S4Holub3Seeman4n = 7Seeman took 4 of 7
S5Holub1Seeman2n = 3Seeman took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolubSeemanH − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.042.7−6.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubSeemanBasisWin rate · lifetime361 / 659 vs 126 / 27054.8%46.7%361 / 659 vs 126 / 270Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeemanHolub 2.75/Seeman 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.9%
Seeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Holub won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 19 · 08:00M. Holub32117771J. Seeman4291111113
LJul 18 · 11:00M. Holub26111050J. Seeman361312113
LJul 11 · 05:30M. Holub386139101J. Seeman45111111123
LJul 10 · 15:00M. Holub2587100J. Seeman341111123
WJul 1 · 10:00M. Holub51111112173J. Seeman436814151
LMay 3 · 07:00M. Holub42921841J. Seeman52111911113
LJun 18 · 08:30M. Holub3891211242J. Seeman511110811113
LJun 18 · 07:30M. Holub3684111122J. Seeman49111197113
WJun 10 · 07:30M. Holub48781111113J. Seeman4111116492
LJan 2 · 14:30M. Holub2410770J. Seeman341211113
M. Holub10
LSep 13 · 15:30M. Snizek1.9111117103M. Holub1.80781171LSep 13 · 14:00M. Holub1.911183131L. Krutina1.8091111153LSep 9 · 09:09M. Holub1.83511871L. Krutina1.8311611113WSep 9 · 08:00A. Akopyan2.201071461M. Holub1.61121112113WSep 9 · 07:00F. Fryml2.201179121M. Holub1.6151111143LSep 9 · 05:30L. Krutina1.8011118153M. Holub1.916911131WSep 6 · 17:08M. Holub1.111111113V. Coubal6.005460LSep 6 · 16:00A. Akopyan2.0091111113M. Holub1.73119741WSep 6 · 15:00P. Muller2.631110761M. Holub1.4481211113WSep 6 · 13:30V. Coubal3.4012711492M. Holub1.301011811113
J. Seeman10
WSep 13 · 13:30M. Snizek2.20137641J. Seeman1.6111111193WSep 12 · 21:03J. Jnr2.20111012772J. Seeman1.619121011113WSep 12 · 19:30J. Mares2.7514280J. Seeman1.401611113WSep 12 · 19:00J. Seeman1.91611912113J. Jnr1.801171110102LSep 12 · 18:00J. Seeman2.00123112132D. Sabuka1.7310111110153WSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171WSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 11:00J. Krejcik2.001111113J. Seeman1.733940WSep 3 · 09:30J. Blazek2.0092111162J. Seeman1.73111199113LAug 31 · 13:03J. Seeman1.9175111112D. Sabuka1.80111186113
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