TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13125732
Played Sep 13Finished
Jan Seeman
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
10121181181210––
Lukas Krutina
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJan Seeman above · Lukas Krutina below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 82 set 4, 12-10
82 points played in total.
H2H Jan Seeman 3–1 Lukas Krutina Lukas Krutina has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Seeman beat Krutina 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Seeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krutina form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeeman 1.44 / Krutina 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Seeman)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13125732
Seeman1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 34 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Krutina2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog54% won 25 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back28% 7 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSeeman3wins
AwayKrutina1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderSeeman leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeeman66.7%2 of 3
AwayKrutinan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Seeman3Krutina1n = 4Seeman took 3 of 4
S2Seeman3Krutina1n = 4Seeman took 3 of 4
S3Seeman1Krutina3n = 4Krutina took 3 of 4
S4Seeman2Krutina2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSeemanKrutinaS − KBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match41.238.2+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeemanKrutinaBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 272 vs 109 / 21246.7%51.4%127 / 272 vs 109 / 212Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeemanSeeman 1.44/Krutina 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Seeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Seeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 13 · 16:00J. Seeman4111118113L. Krutina32491181
WJun 15 · 15:30J. Seeman48111259113L. Krutina48810111182
LJun 14 · 21:05J. Seeman341110851L. Krutina4281211113
WJun 14 · 20:00J. Seeman4291111113L. Krutina31117941
J. Seeman10
WSep 13 · 16:00L. Krutina1.91491181J. Seeman1.8011118113LSep 13 · 15:00M. Holub2.75111171133J. Seeman1.40491111112WSep 13 · 13:30M. Snizek2.20137641J. Seeman1.6111111193WSep 12 · 21:03J. Jnr2.20111012772J. Seeman1.619121011113WSep 12 · 19:30J. Mares2.7514280J. Seeman1.401611113WSep 12 · 19:00J. Seeman1.91611912113J. Jnr1.801171110102LSep 12 · 18:00J. Seeman2.00123112132D. Sabuka1.7310111110153WSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171WSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 11:00J. Krejcik2.001111113J. Seeman1.733940
L. Krutina10
LSep 13 · 16:00L. Krutina1.91491181J. Seeman1.8011118113WSep 13 · 14:30M. Snizek1.61116101162L. Krutina2.20811125103WSep 13 · 14:00M. Holub1.911183131L. Krutina1.8091111153WSep 9 · 09:09M. Holub1.83511871L. Krutina1.8311611113WSep 9 · 07:30L. Krutina2.0091111113F. Fryml1.73115481WSep 9 · 06:30L. Krutina1.33111111113A. Akopyan3.25561351WSep 9 · 05:30L. Krutina1.8011118153M. Holub1.916911131LSep 5 · 13:08L. Krutina1.8511119972M. Cmil1.85791111113LSep 5 · 12:00L. Krutina1.80111012992M. Holub1.919121011113WSep 5 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.754890L. Krutina1.401111113
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