TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100650
Played Sep 9Finished
Lukas Krutina
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911115114118––
Filip Fryml
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:28 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeFilip Fryml to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Krutina above · Filip Fryml below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 70 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Filip Fryml at 57.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krutina 1–2 Filip Fryml Lukas Krutina has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:28What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Fryml
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krutina 1369 vs Fryml 1333
Krutina
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krutina 60% vs Fryml 40%
Krutina
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krutina 70% vs Fryml 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krutina +2 · Fryml -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fryml) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fryml form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrutina 2.00 / Fryml 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fryml)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13100650
Krutina2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog55% won 30 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back29% 9 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Fryml1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 29 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKrutina1wins
AwayFryml2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderFryml leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krutina1Fryml2n = 3Fryml took 2 of 3
S2Krutina1Fryml2n = 3Fryml took 2 of 3
S3Krutina1Fryml2n = 3Fryml took 2 of 3
S4Krutina1Fryml2n = 3Fryml took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKrutinaFrymlK − FBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match41.041.7−0.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrutinaFrymlBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 215 vs 72 / 14451.6%50%111 / 215 vs 72 / 144Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FrymlKrutina 2.00/Fryml 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Fryml · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Krutina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJun 8 · 09:03L. Krutina—10811101F. Fryml—12117123
LJun 8 · 08:00L. Krutina—1111951F. Fryml—81311113
WDec 2 · 20:30L. Krutina—811711113F. Fryml—11311962
L. Krutina10
WSep 9 · 06:30L. Krutina1.33111111113A. Akopyan3.25561351WSep 9 · 05:30L. Krutina1.8011118153M. Holub1.916911131LSep 5 · 13:08L. Krutina1.8511119972M. Cmil1.85791111113LSep 5 · 12:00L. Krutina1.80111012992M. Holub1.919121011113WSep 5 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.754890L. Krutina1.401111113WSep 5 · 10:00M. Cmil1.8311811892L. Krutina1.83911911113WSep 3 · 09:03L. Krutina2.101111610133A. Skyba1.67971112112WSep 3 · 08:00M. Cmil1.807111191L. Krutina1.9111137113LSep 3 · 07:00A. Skyba2.381111113L. Krutina1.535670WSep 3 · 05:30J. Vrnak3.401177101L. Krutina1.3041111123
F. Fryml10
LSep 9 · 07:00F. Fryml2.201179121M. Holub1.6151111143WSep 9 · 06:00F. Fryml1.611111113A. Akopyan2.207620LAug 27 · 09:03F. Fryml1.835790M. Holub1.831111113WAug 27 · 08:00F. Fryml1.73101111113M. Cmil2.00127981LAug 27 · 06:30M. Holub1.808121110113F. Fryml1.91111061292WAug 27 · 06:00M. Snizek1.50771191F. Fryml2.5011114113WAug 26 · 08:39F. Fryml3.504101111113J. Krejcik1.2811129982LAug 26 · 07:30J. Krejcik1.611113113F. Fryml2.2061160WAug 26 · 07:00F. Fryml2.63111197113M. Snizek1.4447111192WAug 26 · 06:00F. Fryml2.6311611113P. Cizek1.44711671
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