TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122043
Played Sep 13Finished
Michal Snizek
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1186111012115610
Lukas Krutina
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:57 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Snizek to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Snizek above · Lukas Krutina below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 6-10
Point 90 set 5, 6-10 — our read held Michal Snizek at 58.5%
90 points played in total.
H2H Michal Snizek 9–5 Lukas Krutina Lukas Krutina has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:57What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Snizek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-5 in 14
Snizek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Snizek 1327 vs Krutina 1392
Krutina
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snizek 40% vs Krutina 100%
Krutina
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snizek 40% vs Krutina 80%
Krutina
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Snizek -1 · Krutina +5
Krutina
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Snizek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krutina form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnizek 1.61 / Krutina 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Snizek)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13122043
Snizek1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 38 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it71% 25 of 35
Krutina2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog54% won 25 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back28% 7 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSnizek6wins
AwayKrutina4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSnizek leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSnizek83.3%5 of 6
AwayKrutina75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Snizek6Krutina4n = 10Snizek took 6 of 10
S2Snizek8Krutina2n = 10Snizek took 8 of 10
S3Snizek5Krutina5n = 10split evenly
S4Snizek3Krutina5n = 8Krutina took 5 of 8
S5Snizek3Krutina3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSnizekKrutinaS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.237.5+3.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnizekKrutinaBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 336 vs 108 / 21052.4%51.4%176 / 336 vs 108 / 210Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnizekSnizek 1.61/Krutina 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Snizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krutina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 18 · 14:30M. Snizek50111189113L. Krutina3847111152
WJun 12 · 08:28M. Snizek3911116113L. Krutina30761161
WJun 12 · 05:30M. Snizek42114511113L. Krutina4271111672
LJun 11 · 09:15M. Snizek4791111972L. Krutina43116411113
LJun 6 · 13:13M. Snizek3911111792L. Krutina42361111113
WJun 6 · 10:30M. Snizek331111113L. Krutina239590
LApr 19 · 20:00M. Snizek347116101L. Krutina4111711123
WFeb 7 · 19:15M. Snizek52911148103L. Krutina49119121162
LDec 17 · 16:00M. Snizek4359111172L. Krutina49111179113
WDec 7 · 16:45M. Snizek331111113L. Krutina185670
M. Snizek10
LSep 13 · 13:30M. Snizek2.20137641J. Seeman1.6111111193WSep 11 · 08:49P. Moulis2.2561231192M. Snizek1.571110119113LSep 11 · 07:30M. Snizek2.20713731F. Husek1.61111111113LSep 11 · 06:30M. Snizek3.005960J. Puk1.361111113WSep 11 · 05:30M. Snizek1.73811511113P. Moulis2.0011511862WSep 4 · 08:53P. Moulis2.3831111892M. Snizek1.53118611113LSep 4 · 07:30M. Snizek2.2061151172M. Vorel1.61117118113LSep 4 · 06:30M. Snizek2.6310660J. Puk1.441211113WSep 4 · 05:30M. Snizek1.6111116113P. Moulis2.20561151LAug 29 · 21:05M. Snizek1.44911471M. Cmil2.6311511113
L. Krutina10
WSep 13 · 14:00M. Holub1.911183131L. Krutina1.8091111153WSep 9 · 09:09M. Holub1.83511871L. Krutina1.8311611113WSep 9 · 07:30L. Krutina2.0091111113F. Fryml1.73115481WSep 9 · 06:30L. Krutina1.33111111113A. Akopyan3.25561351WSep 9 · 05:30L. Krutina1.8011118153M. Holub1.916911131LSep 5 · 13:08L. Krutina1.8511119972M. Cmil1.85791111113LSep 5 · 12:00L. Krutina1.80111012992M. Holub1.919121011113WSep 5 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.754890L. Krutina1.401111113WSep 5 · 10:00M. Cmil1.8311811892L. Krutina1.83911911113WSep 3 · 09:03L. Krutina2.101111610133A. Skyba1.67971112112
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