TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122570
Played Sep 13Finished
Lukas Krutina
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411911118811––
Jan Seeman
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Seeman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Krutina above · Jan Seeman below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jan Seeman at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krutina 1–2 Jan Seeman Lukas Krutina has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:52What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Seeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krutina 1406 vs Seeman 1333
Krutina
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krutina 100% vs Seeman 80%
Krutina
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krutina 80% vs Seeman 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krutina +5 · Seeman -1
Krutina
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Seeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seeman form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrutina 1.91 / Seeman 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Seeman)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13122570
Krutina1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog54% won 25 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back28% 7 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Seeman1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 34 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKrutina1wins
AwaySeeman2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSeeman leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krutina1Seeman2n = 3Seeman took 2 of 3
S2Krutina1Seeman2n = 3Seeman took 2 of 3
S3Krutina2Seeman1n = 3Krutina took 2 of 3
S4Krutina2Seeman1n = 3Krutina took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKrutinaSeemanK − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match40.341.3−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrutinaSeemanBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 210 vs 126 / 27151.4%46.5%108 / 210 vs 126 / 271Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeemanKrutina 1.91/Seeman 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Seeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Seeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJun 15 · 15:30L. Krutina48810111182J. Seeman48111259113
WJun 14 · 21:05L. Krutina4281211113J. Seeman341110851
LJun 14 · 20:00L. Krutina31117941J. Seeman4291111113
L. Krutina10
WSep 13 · 14:30M. Snizek1.61116101162L. Krutina2.20811125103WSep 13 · 14:00M. Holub1.911183131L. Krutina1.8091111153WSep 9 · 09:09M. Holub1.83511871L. Krutina1.8311611113WSep 9 · 07:30L. Krutina2.0091111113F. Fryml1.73115481WSep 9 · 06:30L. Krutina1.33111111113A. Akopyan3.25561351WSep 9 · 05:30L. Krutina1.8011118153M. Holub1.916911131LSep 5 · 13:08L. Krutina1.8511119972M. Cmil1.85791111113LSep 5 · 12:00L. Krutina1.80111012992M. Holub1.919121011113WSep 5 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.754890L. Krutina1.401111113WSep 5 · 10:00M. Cmil1.8311811892L. Krutina1.83911911113
J. Seeman10
LSep 13 · 15:00M. Holub2.75111171133J. Seeman1.40491111112WSep 13 · 13:30M. Snizek2.20137641J. Seeman1.6111111193WSep 12 · 21:03J. Jnr2.20111012772J. Seeman1.619121011113WSep 12 · 19:30J. Mares2.7514280J. Seeman1.401611113WSep 12 · 19:00J. Seeman1.91611912113J. Jnr1.801171110102LSep 12 · 18:00J. Seeman2.00123112132D. Sabuka1.7310111110153WSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171WSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 11:00J. Krejcik2.001111113J. Seeman1.733940WSep 3 · 09:30J. Blazek2.0092111162J. Seeman1.73111199113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.