TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111309
Played Sep 11Finished
Evgeniy Pismenniy
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012119511118411
Yevhen Masko
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:53 and never touched — 72.8% is still 72.8%
Graded at full timeYevhen Masko to win
72.8%
72.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEvgeniy Pismenniy above · Yevhen Masko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 92 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Yevhen Masko at 72.8%
92 points played in total.
H2H Evgeniy Pismenniy 75–144 Yevhen Masko Evgeniy Pismenniy has won 75 of their 219 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:53What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Masko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
75-144 in 219
Masko
Correct
gap of 69 in 219, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pismenniy 1616 vs Masko 1705
Masko
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pismenniy 80% vs Masko 60%
Pismenniy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pismenniy 40% vs Masko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pismenniy +1 · Masko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Masko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Masko form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPismenniy 3.00 / Masko 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Masko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13111309
Pismenniy3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog24% won 61 of 253
Down 0–1, comes back8% 12 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 94
Masko1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 140 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it99% 84 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it90% 112 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePismenniy3wins
AwayMasko7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMasko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePismenniy66.7%2 of 3
AwayMasko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pismenniy3Masko7n = 10Masko took 7 of 10
S2Pismenniy2Masko8n = 10Masko took 8 of 10
S3Pismenniy4Masko6n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S4Pismenniy5Masko3n = 8Pismenniy took 5 of 8
S5Pismenniy2Masko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPismenniyMaskoP − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.943.1−3.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPismenniyMaskoBasisWin rate · lifetime213 / 709 vs 426 / 74530%57.2%213 / 709 vs 426 / 745Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaskoPismenniy 3.00/Masko 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.8%
Masko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Masko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 13:55E. Pismenniy—1013971Y. Masko—121111103
LSep 5 · 01:25E. Pismenniy—571171Y. Masko—11118113
WAug 29 · 19:55E. Pismenniy—911618113Y. Masko—115111692
LAug 29 · 02:55E. Pismenniy—81090Y. Masko—1112113
WAug 23 · 16:55E. Pismenniy—1171111143Y. Masko—711137122
LAug 22 · 14:55E. Pismenniy—591111102Y. Masko—111158123
LAug 21 · 23:25E. Pismenniy—114861Y. Masko—81111113
LAug 15 · 17:55E. Pismenniy—107111142Y. Masko—121196113
LAug 14 · 23:25E. Pismenniy—89130Y. Masko—1111153
WAug 9 · 17:55E. Pismenniy—11914123Y. Masko—31112101
E. Pismenniy10
LSep 12 · 24:25A. Tuzhylin1.1191211113E. Pismenniy6.001110981WSep 11 · 22:25V. Melnik1.44134111142E. Pismenniy2.63151159113WSep 6 · 19:55E. Pismenniy1.671111113R. Reznychenko2.107950LSep 6 · 17:55D. Neborak1.256111411113E. Pismenniy3.7511816992WSep 6 · 16:55E. Pismenniy2.50511511113R. Cherevko1.5011611652WSep 6 · 15:55V. Melnik1.5310860E. Pismenniy2.381211113WSep 6 · 14:25E. Pismenniy2.5011111082Y. Masko1.50691281LSep 5 · 20:25D. Neborak1.361112113E. Pismenniy3.0021080LSep 5 · 18:55E. Pismenniy2.63711691R. Cherevko1.4411511113LSep 5 · 16:55R. Reznychenko1.911111910123E. Pismenniy1.80991112102
Y. Masko10
WSep 11 · 21:25A. Tuzhylin1.44781151Y. Masko2.6311115113LSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko1.679670R. Cherevko2.101111113WSep 6 · 18:25V. Melnik1.831011891Y. Masko1.8312211113LSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 15:25Y. Masko1.331111113R. Reznychenko3.258970LSep 6 · 14:25E. Pismenniy2.5011111082Y. Masko1.50691281LSep 5 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.441113113Y. Masko2.6351160LSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko1.3088111122D. Neborak3.40111188103WSep 5 · 17:25Y. Masko1.7311119113R. Cherevko2.00791191WSep 5 · 15:55Y. Masko1.221161383R. Reznychenko4.005111151
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