TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111321
Played Sep 11Finished
Alexander Tuzhylin
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711811115511––
Yevhen Masko
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:53 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeAlexander Tuzhylin to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAlexander Tuzhylin above · Yevhen Masko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 69 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Alexander Tuzhylin at 68.9%
69 points played in total.
H2H Alexander Tuzhylin 139–71 Yevhen Masko Yevhen Masko has won 71 of their 210 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:53What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Tuzhylin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
139-71 in 210
Tuzhylin
Wrong
gap of 68 in 210, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuzhylin 1868 vs Masko 1687
Tuzhylin
Wrong
both rated, 182 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuzhylin 80% vs Masko 40%
Tuzhylin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuzhylin 80% vs Masko 50%
Tuzhylin
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuzhylin +4 · Masko -1
Tuzhylin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Tuzhylin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuzhylin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuzhylin 1.44 / Masko 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Tuzhylin)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13111321
Tuzhylin1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite75% won 198 of 265
Up 2–0, closes it98% 127 of 129
Up 1–0, closes it89% 149 of 167
Masko2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 43 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back11% 6 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuzhylin8wins
AwayMasko2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTuzhylin leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuzhylin100%4 of 4
AwayMasko33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuzhylin4Masko6n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S2Tuzhylin8Masko2n = 10Tuzhylin took 8 of 10
S3Tuzhylin8Masko2n = 10Tuzhylin took 8 of 10
S4Tuzhylin5Masko0n = 5Tuzhylin took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTuzhylinMaskoT − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.831.7+7.1per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTuzhylinMaskoBasisWin rate · lifetime501 / 659 vs 430 / 74976%57.4%501 / 659 vs 430 / 749Avg sets wonper match2.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TuzhylinTuzhylin 1.44/Masko 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.9%
Tuzhylin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Masko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 21:25A. Tuzhylin—91211123Y. Masko—11107101
LAug 29 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin—8880Y. Masko—1111113
WAug 28 · 23:25A. Tuzhylin—91111113Y. Masko—119741
WAug 22 · 24:25A. Tuzhylin—1211511113Y. Masko—14611962
WAug 15 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin—1112113Y. Masko—61070
WAug 15 · 24:25A. Tuzhylin—91111113Y. Masko—118861
WAug 9 · 16:55A. Tuzhylin—1111113Y. Masko—9860
WAug 8 · 20:25A. Tuzhylin—1111113Y. Masko—7650
LAug 8 · 01:25A. Tuzhylin—129111282Y. Masko—1411510113
WAug 2 · 16:55A. Tuzhylin—1211113Y. Masko—10470
A. Tuzhylin10
WSep 5 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.441113113Y. Masko2.6351160WSep 5 · 17:55A. Tuzhylin1.1111116113R. Reznychenko6.00781161WSep 5 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.3013118113D. Neborak3.401191191WSep 5 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin1.111112113E. Pismenniy6.0081080LSep 5 · 13:25A. Tuzhylin1.441211912102R. Cherevko2.631481110123WSep 5 · 03:25A. Tuzhylin1.111211113E. Pismenniy6.0010870LSep 5 · 01:55A. Tuzhylin1.67111114732V. Melnik2.107131211113WSep 5 · 24:25A. Tuzhylin1.111112113R. Reznychenko6.0081080WSep 4 · 22:55A. Tuzhylin1.3611813123R. Cherevko3.0061111101WSep 4 · 21:25A. Tuzhylin1.3691211123Y. Masko3.0011107101
Y. Masko10
LSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko1.679670R. Cherevko2.101111113WSep 6 · 18:25V. Melnik1.831011891Y. Masko1.8312211113LSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 15:25Y. Masko1.331111113R. Reznychenko3.258970LSep 6 · 14:25E. Pismenniy2.5011111082Y. Masko1.50691281LSep 5 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.441113113Y. Masko2.6351160LSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko1.3088111122D. Neborak3.40111188103WSep 5 · 17:25Y. Masko1.7311119113R. Cherevko2.00791191WSep 5 · 15:55Y. Masko1.221161383R. Reznychenko4.005111151LSep 4 · 21:25A. Tuzhylin1.3691211123Y. Masko3.0011107101
Upcoming Matches
A. Tuzhylin
Sep 12 · 24:25A. Tuzhylin1.11E. Pismenniy6.00—Sep 12 · 01:55A. Tuzhylin1.57V. Melnik2.25—Sep 12 · 03:25A. Tuzhylin1.40R. Cherevko2.75—Sep 12 · 13:55A. Tuzhylin1.57V. Melnik2.25—Sep 12 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin1.11E. Pismenniy6.00—Sep 12 · 16:55A. Tuzhylin1.44Y. Masko2.63—Sep 12 · 20:25A. Tuzhylin1.40R. Cherevko2.75—
Y. Masko
Sep 11 · 23:25Y. Masko1.36E. Pismenniy3.00—Sep 12 · 01:25Y. Masko1.53R. Cherevko2.38—Sep 12 · 02:55Y. Masko1.33R. Reznychenko3.25—Sep 12 · 03:55Y. Masko2.00V. Melnik1.73—Sep 12 · 14:25Y. Masko1.57R. Cherevko2.25—Sep 12 · 15:55Y. Masko2.00V. Melnik1.73—Sep 12 · 16:55Y. Masko2.63A. Tuzhylin1.44—Sep 12 · 19:55Y. Masko1.36R. Reznychenko3.00—
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