Frantisek Dvorak vs Jan Osmera 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13106836

Played Sep 10Finished

Frantisek Dvorak

Home

2.10

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

118711911116115

Jan Osmera

Away

1.67

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:54 and never touched — 60.2% is still 60.2%

Graded at full time

Jan Osmera to win

60.2%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingFrantisek Dvorak above · Jan Osmera below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 11-6

Set 5 · 11-5

Point 90 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Jan Osmera at 60.2%

90 points played in total.

H2H Frantisek Dvorak 9–18 Jan Osmera Frantisek Dvorak has won 9 of their 27 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

The pickConfirm

Sealed 23:54

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Osmera

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

9-18 in 27

Osmera

Wrong

gap of 9 in 27, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Dvorak 1524 vs Osmera 1576

Osmera

Wrong

both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Dvorak 40% vs Osmera 60%

Osmera

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Dvorak 50% vs Osmera 70%

Osmera

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Dvorak -1 · Osmera -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.

Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Osmera) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDvorak 2.10 / Osmera 1.67

Signal prob.42% / 58%

Edge (Osmera)+2.4pp

TT Cup · #13106836

Dvorak2.10

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog31% won 16 of 51

Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 23

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8

Osmera1.67

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite62% won 72 of 116

Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31

Up 1–0, closes it75% 46 of 61

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeDvorak4wins

AwayOsmera6wins

6 of 10 to a deciderOsmera leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDvorak40%2 of 5

AwayOsmera60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Dvorak5Osmera5n = 10split evenly

S2Dvorak7Osmera3n = 10Dvorak took 7 of 10

S3Dvorak7Osmera3n = 10Dvorak took 7 of 10

S4Dvorak5Osmera4n = 9Dvorak took 5 of 9

S5Dvorak0Osmera6n = 6Osmera took 6 of 6

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away660%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricDvorakOsmeraD − OBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.342.2+2.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDvorakOsmeraBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 307 vs 266 / 47954.4%55.5%167 / 307 vs 266 / 479Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Osmera

Dvorak 2.10/Osmera 1.67

Miss

What we said

58.2%

Osmera · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Dvorak won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 13 · 10:20F. Dvorak—1111113J. Osmera—9760

LAug 12 · 11:20F. Dvorak—116119132J. Osmera—611211153

LAug 6 · 11:20F. Dvorak—11981172J. Osmera—811119113

WJul 29 · 11:20F. Dvorak—111113113J. Osmera—951581

LJul 16 · 07:55F. Dvorak—11912762J. Osmera—6111011113

LJun 11 · 10:05F. Dvorak—41181192J. Osmera—118116113

WJun 11 · 09:25F. Dvorak—101111133J. Osmera—1288111

LApr 29 · 12:20F. Dvorak—811121062J. Osmera—1151012113

LMar 12 · 10:25F. Dvorak—71211692J. Osmera—1110911113

WFeb 19 · 08:55F. Dvorak—101111113J. Osmera—126951

F. Dvorak10

WSep 10 · 07:55F. Dvorak1.331111113T. Rein3.257780 LSep 9 · 14:00T. Hnizdil1.2791111113F. Dvorak3.30118861 WSep 9 · 12:20F. Dvorak1.4416119113T. Jr2.631461191 WSep 9 · 11:20F. Dvorak1.731111113A. Jr2.008680 LSep 9 · 10:20F. Dvorak3.2517170T. Hnizdil1.331911113 LAug 26 · 14:35F. Dvorak1.4581070V. Koutnik2.601112113 WAug 26 · 12:55T. Rein3.005920F. Dvorak1.361111113 WAug 26 · 12:25V. Koutnik2.63671181F. Dvorak1.4411116113 LAug 26 · 11:25F. Dvorak1.5751191182A. Jr2.25118112113 WAug 20 · 14:35A. Jr2.001161411112F. Dvorak1.739111213133

J. Osmera10

LSep 10 · 10:04T. Rein2.3811711113J. Osmera1.53711941 LSep 10 · 08:25V. Koutnik2.101111113J. Osmera1.676950 LSep 10 · 07:25J. Osmera1.33126991T. Rein3.25101111113 WSep 8 · 17:55J. Osmera1.7391111113C. Kratochvil2.00116781 WSep 8 · 16:55J. Osmera1.53811116113A. Jr2.3811871172 WSep 8 · 15:55J. Osmera1.73511411113C. Kratochvil2.0011911992 LSep 8 · 14:55J. Osmera1.619114131V. Koutnik2.2011911153 LAug 20 · 10:38M. Filipek1.8381114113J. Osmera1.831191291 WAug 20 · 08:55J. Osmera1.73871111143P. Vodal2.00111198122 WAug 20 · 07:55J. Osmera1.66911611113B. Budik2.1011811892

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