Frantisek Dvorak vs Ales Brandtl Jr 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13015805

Played Aug 26Finished

Frantisek Dvorak

Home

1.57

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

511118911112811

Ales Brandtl Jr

Away

2.25

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:02 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%

Graded at full time

Frantisek Dvorak to win

58.2%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

pick shipped

How it is goingFrantisek Dvorak above · Ales Brandtl Jr below

Set 1 · 5-11

Set 2 · 11-8

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 11-2

Set 5 · 8-11

Point 87 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Frantisek Dvorak at 58.2%

87 points played in total.

H2H Frantisek Dvorak 9–11 Ales Brandtl Jr Frantisek Dvorak has won 9 of their 20 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4SplitHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 24:02

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Dvorak

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

9-11 in 20

Correct

gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Dvorak 1525 vs Jr 1401

Dvorak

Wrong

both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Dvorak 60% vs Jr 40%

Dvorak

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Dvorak 40% vs Jr 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Dvorak +1 · Jr +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .

Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Dvorak) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDvorak 1.57 / Jr 2.25

Signal prob.61% / 39%

Edge (Dvorak)+2.4pp

TT Cup · #13015805

Dvorak1.57

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite64% won 48 of 75

Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29

Up 1–0, closes it87% 34 of 39

Jr2.25

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog44% won 71 of 163

Down 0–1, comes back29% 29 of 100

Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 56

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeDvorak6wins

AwayJr4wins

7 of 10 to a deciderDvorak leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDvorak83.3%5 of 6

AwayJr75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Dvorak6Jr4n = 10Dvorak took 6 of 10

S2Dvorak7Jr3n = 10Dvorak took 7 of 10

S3Dvorak5Jr5n = 10split evenly

S4Dvorak3Jr7n = 10Jr took 7 of 10

S5Dvorak4Jr3n = 7Dvorak took 4 of 7

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home440%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricDvorakJrD − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.745.0−1.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDvorakJrBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 319 vs 249 / 53354.6%46.7%174 / 319 vs 249 / 533Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Dvorak

Dvorak 1.57/Jr 2.25

Miss

What we said

61.3%

Dvorak · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Jr won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 20 · 14:35F. Dvorak—9111213133A. Jr—1161411112

LAug 20 · 13:25F. Dvorak—391691A. Jr—111114113

WAug 13 · 11:20F. Dvorak—13118113A. Jr—1181181

LAug 5 · 14:28F. Dvorak—11511562A. Jr—711711113

WAug 5 · 11:25F. Dvorak—111183113A. Jr—77111162

LJul 16 · 08:55F. Dvorak—81111362A. Jr—119511113

LMay 27 · 12:50F. Dvorak—101112772A. Jr—1271011113

WApr 29 · 15:50F. Dvorak—111133113A. Jr—87111172

WMar 11 · 13:50F. Dvorak—13713113A. Jr—11111131

WFeb 18 · 11:20F. Dvorak—111178113A. Jr—97111172

F. Dvorak10

LAug 26 · 14:35F. Dvorak1.4581070V. Koutnik2.601112113 WAug 26 · 12:55T. Rein3.005920F. Dvorak1.361111113 WAug 26 · 12:25V. Koutnik2.63671181F. Dvorak1.4411116113 WAug 20 · 14:35A. Jr2.001161411112F. Dvorak1.739111213133 LAug 20 · 13:25A. Jr2.38111114113F. Dvorak1.53391691 WAug 20 · 12:25F. Dvorak1.50121110123V. Koutnik2.5010512101 WAug 20 · 10:55T. Rein2.7589120F. Dvorak1.401111143 LAug 19 · 13:33B. Budik1.7381111113F. Dvorak2.00115781 LAug 19 · 12:20J. Sebl2.1011611123F. Dvorak1.678119101 LAug 19 · 11:50B. Budik1.80381211113F. Dvorak1.91111110672

A. Jr10

LSep 6 · 14:04A. Jr1.837680L. Rek1.831111113 LSep 6 · 12:55A. Jr3.2579120T. Hnizdil1.331111143 LSep 6 · 11:55A. Jr3.25912100J. Sebl1.331114123 WSep 6 · 10:55A. Jr2.001181111113L. Rek1.7313115772 LSep 5 · 14:30A. Jr2.2587111182J. Dohnal1.55111189113 LSep 5 · 12:55J. Sebl1.361111611143A. Jr3.00313112122 WSep 5 · 12:25J. Dohnal1.33918261A. Jr3.2511161193 WSep 5 · 11:25A. Jr2.381111113L. Rek1.538780 LAug 20 · 14:35A. Jr2.001161411112F. Dvorak1.739111213133 WAug 20 · 13:25A. Jr2.38111114113F. Dvorak1.53391691

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